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What Is the Aggregate Economic Rate of Return to Foreign Aid?

Author

Listed:
  • Channing Arndt
  • Sam Jones
  • Finn Tarp

Abstract

In recent years, academic studies have been converging towards the view that foreign aid promotes aggregate economic growth. We employ a simulation approach to: (i) validate the coherence of empirical aid-growth studies published since 2008; and (ii) calculate plausible ranges for the rate of return to aid. Our results highlight the long run nature of aid-financed investments and the importance of channels other than accumulation of physical capital. We find the return to aid lies in ranges commonly accepted for public investments and there is little to justify the view that aid has had a significant pernicious effect on productivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Channing Arndt & Sam Jones & Finn Tarp, 2016. "What Is the Aggregate Economic Rate of Return to Foreign Aid?," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 30(3), pages 446-474.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:wbecrv:v:30:y:2016:i:3:p:446-474.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/wber/lhv033
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    JEL classification:

    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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