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Postconflict Transitions: An Overview

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  • Ibrahim Ahmed Elbadawi

Abstract

In the two to five years immediately following end of conflicts, UN peacekeeping operations have succeeded in maintaining peace, while income and consumption growth rates have been higher than normal and recovery on key education and health indicators has been possible. Aid also has been super-effective in promoting recovery, not only by financing physical infrastructure but also by helping in the monetary reconstruction of postconflict economies. However, sustaining these short-term gains was met with two difficult challenges. First, long-term sustainability of peace and growth hinges primarily on the ability of postconflict societies to develop institutions for the delivery of public goods, which, in turn, depends on the capacity of post-conflict elites to overcome an entrenched culture of political fragmentation and form stable national coalitions, beyond their immediate ethnic or regional power bases. Second, after catch-up growth runs its course, high levels of aid could lead to overvalued real currencies, at a time when growth requires a competitive exchange rate and economic diversification. Successful peace-building would, therefore, require that these political and economic imperatives of postconflict transitions be accounted for in the design of UN peacekeeping operations as well as the aid regime. Copyright The Author 2008. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / the world bank . All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org, Oxford University Press.

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  • Ibrahim Ahmed Elbadawi, 2008. "Postconflict Transitions: An Overview," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 22(1), pages 1-7, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:wbecrv:v:22:y:2008:i:1:p:1-7
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/wber/lhn002
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    Cited by:

    1. Ajit Karnik & Mala Lalvani, 2009. "Heterogeneity in Growth Processes: Estimating Growth Regressions using Panel Data," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 561-590.
    2. Colin O’Reilly, 2014. "Investment and Institutions in Post-Civil War Recovery," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 56(1), pages 1-24, March.
    3. Julián Tole Martínez, 2021. "Empresas en el conflicto armado : aportes a la construcción de la paz en Colombia," Books, Universidad Externado de Colombia, Facultad de Derecho, number 1326.

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