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Common Pricing of Decentralized Risk: A Linear Option Pricing Model

Author

Listed:
  • Liuren Wu
  • Yuzhao Zhang

Abstract

This paper proposes a top-down linear option pricing model that unifies the pricing of different option contracts not by assuming common dynamics but by imposing common pricing on each risk source in proportion to decentralized risk estimates. The model generates significantly better pricing performance than existing bottom-up models. Its high-dimensional risk structure effectively explains the options return variation, allowing for the seamless integration of option pricing with risk management. The market price of risk estimate from the model strongly predicts the future excess return of the corresponding risk-targeting option portfolio, an important dimension of attribute completely absent from prior literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Liuren Wu & Yuzhao Zhang, 2025. "Common Pricing of Decentralized Risk: A Linear Option Pricing Model," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 38(6), pages 1822-1867.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:38:y:2025:i:6:p:1822-1867.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhaf016
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    C13; C51; G12; G13;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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