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Financial Constraints, Monetary Policy Shocks, and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns

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  • Sudheer Chava
  • Alex Hsu
  • Robin Greenwood

Abstract

We analyze the impact ofa unanticipated monetary policy changes on the cross-section of U.S. equity returns. Financially constrained firms earn a significantly lower (higher) return following surprise interest rate increases (decreases) as compared to unconstrained firms. This differential return response between constrained and unconstrained firms appears after a delay of 3 to 4 days. Further, unanticipated Federal funds rate increases are associated with a larger decrease in expected cash flow news, but not discount rate news, for constrained firms relative to unconstrained firms.Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.

Suggested Citation

  • Sudheer Chava & Alex Hsu & Robin Greenwood, 2020. "Financial Constraints, Monetary Policy Shocks, and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(9), pages 4367-4402.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:33:y:2020:i:9:p:4367-4402.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ying Zhang & Hongfei Ruan & Guiyao Tang & Li Tong, 2021. "Power of sustainable development: Does environmental management system certification affect a firm's access to finance?," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(8), pages 3772-3788, December.
    2. Alex Hsu & Indrajit Mitra & Linghang Zeng, 2023. "The Profitability Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    3. Jiang, Lunan & Chen, Yinghui & Zhang, Lin, 2024. "Monetary policy surprises and corporate investment growth in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    4. Sequeira, John M., 2021. "Monetary policy surprises, stock returns, and financial and liquidity constraints, in an exchange rate monetary policy system," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 226-236.
    5. Wei, Xin & Liu, Xi & Zhang, Xueyong, 2022. "Shadow banking and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Palazzo, Berardino & Yamarthy, Ram, 2022. "Credit risk and the transmission of interest rate shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 120-136.
    7. Sekandary, Ghezal & Bask, Mikael, 2023. "Monetary policy uncertainty, monetary policy surprises and stock returns," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    8. Ai, Hengjie & Han, Leyla Jianyu & Pan, Xuhui Nick & Xu, Lai, 2022. "The cross section of the monetary policy announcement premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 247-276.
    9. Rodnyansky, A. & Timmer, Y. & Yago, N., 2023. "Intervening against the Fed," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2357, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    10. Alex Hsu & Indrajit Mitra & Yu Xu & Linghang Zeng, 2023. "The Fed Information Effect and Firm-Level Investment: Evidence and Theory," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-6a, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, revised Mar 2024.
    11. Patozi, A., 2023. "Green Transmission: Monetary Policy in the Age of ESG," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2311, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    12. Döttling, Robin & Ratnovski, Lev, 2023. "Monetary policy and intangible investment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 53-72.
    13. repec:fip:fedawp:97980 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Vo, Hong & Trinh, Quoc-Dat & Le, Minh & Nguyen, Thuy-Ngan, 2021. "Does economic policy uncertainty affect investment sensitivity to peer stock prices?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 685-699.
    15. Tu, Bingqian & Zhou, Zhou & Dang, Jingqi & Qiu, Yitian, 2024. "Information matters: The effectiveness of mixed-ownership reform in mitigating financial constraints," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1115-1132.
    16. Jianpei Li & Jierui Huang & Bowen Li, 2024. "Do command‐and‐control environmental regulations realize the win‐win of “pollution reduction” and “efficiency improvement” for enterprises? Evidence from China," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 3271-3292, August.
    17. Alex Hsu & Francisco J. Palomino & Charles Qian, 2017. "The Decline in Asset Return Predictability and Macroeconomic Volatility," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-050, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    18. Adra, Samer & Barbopoulos, Leonidas G., 2022. "Monetary shocks and the analyst coverage of the firm," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).

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