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Ending civil wars through fraudulent elections

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  • Michael Christian Lehmann

Abstract

Previous research finds a positive association between electoral fraud and post-election protests, violence, and civil conflict. This article contends that the effect of electoral fraud on peace can be heterogeneous. I investigate elections after civil wars that stalemated. My contribution is to present a theory and suggestive evidence that, in this context, electoral fraud by unpopular incumbents can be peace-promoting. An important policy implication is that international efforts to prevent electoral fraud (e.g. electoral observers), in this specific setting, may increase the odds that a civil war continues.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Christian Lehmann, 2024. "Ending civil wars through fraudulent elections," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 76(1), pages 250-266.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:76:y:2024:i:1:p:250-266.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/oep/gpad002
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D73 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Bureaucracy; Administrative Processes in Public Organizations; Corruption
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions

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