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The Return of Greenspan: Mumbling with Great Incoherence

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  • Shengliang Ou
  • Donghai Zhang
  • Renbin Zhang

Abstract

This study demonstrates that more information about the unobserved state of the economy may reduce social welfare owing to the presence of nominal rigidity. On one hand, costly business cycle fluctuations and price dispersions arising from nominal rigidity are muted in a noisy economy. On the other hand, an economy with less information suffers from efficiency losses due to inefficient coordination in pricing decisions. Monetary policy affects the tradeoff, and thus interacts with the social value of information. We characterize the conditions under which more information reduces social welfare. Our findings are relevant for optimal central bank communication strategies and for evaluating the social benefit of new technologies, such as AI technology, that reduce the cost of information acquisition.

Suggested Citation

  • Shengliang Ou & Donghai Zhang & Renbin Zhang, 2025. "The Return of Greenspan: Mumbling with Great Incoherence," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 23(6), pages 2048-2091.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:jeurec:v:23:y:2025:i:6:p:2048-2091.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jeea/jvaf017
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