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The Demand for Cigarette Smuggling


  • Saba, Richard P, et al


When taxes raise the full price of a good above that in nearby jurisdictions, consumers have an incentive to cross into the lower-price jurisdiction to make purchases. Using a simple microeconomic model of the consumer's border-crossing decision, the authors derive an econometric model to test the significance of border crossing and estimate the magnitude of the resulting sales. Examining cigarette sales in the continental United States over the period 1960 to 1986, they find strong evidence that border crossing is a significant factor in explaining sales differentials between states. Implications for demand estimation and excise tax policy are discussed. Coauthors are T. Randolph Beard; Robert B. Ekelund, Jr.; and Rand W. Ressler. Copyright 1995 by Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Saba, Richard P, et al, 1995. "The Demand for Cigarette Smuggling," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 33(2), pages 189-202, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:33:y:1995:i:2:p:189-202

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