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Locked in extraction: unveiling the path dependence of Chile’s neoextractivist economy in a global transition era

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  • Francisco Vergara-Perucich
  • Martín Arias-Loyola

Abstract

This article provides a multi-scalar analysis of Chile’s development trajectory, demonstrating that its historical dependency on resource extraction has evolved into a resilient and complex financialised extractivist lock-in from 1940 to 2022. Using Bai-Perron structural break analysis and regional Principal Component Analysis (PCA), we reveal how the national economy transitioned from a primary-export model to one where a dependent service sector reinforces the extractive core. This reconfiguration has produced a territorially polarised landscape of extraction and accumulation zones. We argue that this lock-in is perpetuated by a deep-seated rentier logic and modern governance mechanisms like public–private partnerships, which structurally limit diversification.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Vergara-Perucich & Martín Arias-Loyola, 2026. "Locked in extraction: unveiling the path dependence of Chile’s neoextractivist economy in a global transition era," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 19(1), pages 17-30.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:cjrecs:v:19:y:2026:i:1:p:17-30.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/cjres/rsaf041
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