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Bank profitability, leverage and financial instability: a Minsky–Harrod model

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  • Soon Ryoo

Abstract

This paper develops a stock-flow-consistent macroeconomic model where bank profitability and bank leverage play a crucial role in the determination of firms' liability structure. The model assumes that banks' credit supply depends on bank profitability as well as firms' profit–interest ratio. Our analysis suggests that a strong expansionary effect of bank profitability on credit supply tends to destabilise the economy, leading to cycles driven by the interactions between firms' and banks' financial behaviour. The formal framework is used to discuss Hyman Minsky's proposal in his Stabilizing an Unstable Economy for the control over the permissible leverage ratios and payout ratios of banks. Copyright , Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Soon Ryoo, 2013. "Bank profitability, leverage and financial instability: a Minsky–Harrod model," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 37(5), pages 1127-1160.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:cambje:v:37:y:2013:i:5:p:1127-1160
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/cje/bes078
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    Cited by:

    1. Michalis Nikiforos, 2013. "Uncertainty and Contradiction: An Essay on the Business Cycle," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_770, Levy Economics Institute.
    2. Nikolaidi, Maria, 2014. "Margins of safety and instability in a macrodynamic model with Minskyan insights," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-16.
    3. Soon Ryoo, 2016. "Household debt and housing bubbles: a Minskian approach to boom-bust cycles," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 26(5), pages 971-1006, December.
    4. Soon Ryoo & Yun K. Kim, 2014. "Income Distribution, Consumer Debt and Keeping up with the Joneses," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(4), pages 585-618, November.
    5. Kenshiro Ninomiya, 2022. "Financial structure, cycle, and instability," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-23, December.
    6. Engelbert Stockhammer & Giorgos Gouzoulis & Rob Calvert Jump, 2019. "Debt-driven business cycles in historical perspective: The cases of the USA (1889-2015) and UK (1882-2010)," Working Papers PKWP1907, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    7. Engelbert Stockhammer & Giorgos Gouzoulis, 2023. "Debt-GDP cycles in historical perspective: the case of the USA (1889–2014)," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 32(2), pages 317-335.
    8. Bales, Stephan & Burghartz, Kaspar & Burghof, Hans-Peter & Hitz, Lukas, 2023. "Does the source of uncertainty matter? The impact of financial, newspaper and Twitter-based measures on U.S. banks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    9. Eliana Lauretta & Sajid M. Chaudhry & Daniel Santamaria, 2023. "Unveiling the black swan of the finance‐growth Nexus: Assumptions and preliminary evidence of virtuous and unvirtuous cycles," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3749-3773, October.
    10. Gräbner-Radkowitsch, Claudius & Heimberger, Philipp & Kapeller, Jakob & Landesmann, Michael & Schütz, Bernhard, 2022. "The evolution of debtor-creditor relationships within a monetary union: Trade imbalances, excess reserves and economic policy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 262-289.
    11. Stockhammer, Engelbert & Rabinovich, Joel & Reddy, Niall, 2017. "Distribution, wealth and demand regimes in historical perspective. USA, UK, France and Germany, 1855-2010," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-5, School of Economics, Kingston University London.
    12. José Pedro Bastos Neves & Willi Semmler, 2022. "Credit, output and financial stress: A non‐linear LVSTAR application to Brazil," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 900-923, July.
    13. Park, Hyun Woong, 2019. "Securitized banking, procyclical bank leverage, and financial instability," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 283-300.
    14. Leila E Davis & Joao Paulo A de Souza & Gonzalo Hernandez, 2019. "An empirical analysis of Minsky regimes in the US economy," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 43(3), pages 541-583.
    15. Matthew Holloway & Jari Eloranta, 2014. "“Stability breeds instability?” A Minskian analysis of the crisis of the Asian Tigers in the 1990s," Investigaciones de Historia Económica - Economic History Research (IHE-EHR), Journal of the Spanish Economic History Association, Asociación Española de Historia Económica, vol. 10(02), pages 115-126.
    16. Juan Laborda & Vicente Salas & Cristina Suárez, 2021. "Financial constraints on R&D projects and minsky moments: containing the credit cycle," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 1089-1111, September.
    17. Hans D. G. Hyun, 2023. "A financial frontier model with bankers' susceptibility under uncertainty," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(1), pages 94-118, February.
    18. Engelbert Stockhammer & Joel Rabinovich & Niall Reddy, 2018. "Distribution, wealth and demand regimes in historical perspective," FMM Working Paper 14-2018, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    19. Kenshiro Ninomiya & Masaaki Tokuda, 2021. "Structural change and financial instability in the US economy," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 205-226, April.
    20. Toshio Watanabe, 2016. "Net worth ratio, bank lending and financial instability," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 37-56, June.
    21. Li, Boyao, 2022. "The macroeconomic effects of Basel III regulations with endogenous credit and money creation," MPRA Paper 113873, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Rafael Wildauer, 2016. "Determinants of US household debt: New evidence from the SCF," Working Papers PKWP1608, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    23. Michalis Nikiforos, 2015. "Uncertainty and Contradiction: An Essay on the Business Cycle," Working Papers 1514, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    24. Giuseppe Mastromatteo & Giuseppe Mastromatteo, 2016. "Minsky at Basel: A Global Cap to Build an Effective Postcrisis Banking Supervision Framework," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_875, Levy Economics Institute.
    25. Toshio Watanabe, 2023. "Financial dynamics in the medium run," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 632-656, July.

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