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Firm entry and exit dynamics in Austria: uncovering the economic significance of insolvencies beyond simple counts

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In Austria, insolvencies are often narrowly perceived as signs of economic distress and are typically tracked through absolute insolvency counts. This paper challenges the informational value of such counts and reframes insolvency within the broader context of firm turnover, emphasizing the functional role of insolvencies in facilitating resource reallocation and structural transformation. Using firm-level data from the Integrated Firm-Level Database (IFLD) of the Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB), we analyze firm dynamics in Austria between 2019 and 2024. We document that insolvencies constitute a small and stable share of firm exits – averaging around 1% of the firm population – even amid post-pandemic normalization. By constructing weighted insolvency rates based on firms’ total assets, employment, and credit exposure, we show that economically significant firms are less likely to become insolvent. We moreover find that insolvency patterns are concentrated in smaller, less systemically relevant segments of the economy. Sectoral breakdowns confirm these patterns and illustrate the added value of disaggregated metrics. Our results expose the limitations of count-based indicators and highlight the importance of improved microdata and more meaningful metrics to inform forward-looking and efficiency-oriented policy frameworks. Note that while we cannot update all analyses from the paper to the most recent month, our main finding, namely that the insolvency rate remains stable, continues to hold through the first half of 2025.

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  • Helmut Elsinger & Pirmin Fessler & Aleksandra Riedl & Stefan Trappl, 2025. "Firm entry and exit dynamics in Austria: uncovering the economic significance of insolvencies beyond simple counts," OeNB Bulletin, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q3/25-1, pages 1-22.
  • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbbu:y:2025:i:q3/25-1:b:1
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    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • R30 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - General

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