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Construction of composite business cycle indicators in a scarce data environment: A case study for Abu Dhabi

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  • Klaus Abberger
  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

Abstract

Business cycle indicators are important instruments for monitoring economic development. When employing indicators one usually relies on a sound statistical database. This paper deals with indicator development in a scarce data situation. Indicator building is merged with temporal disaggregation, which is often used by statistical offices. The discussed tools are applied in a case study for Abu Dhabi. Because the economy of Abu Dhabi is very dependent on oil, real income reflects the economic situation better than real gross domestic product (GDP). For this reason a measure of real gross domestic income (GDI) was chosen as reference series. Keywords: Business cycle indicators, temporal disaggregation, terms of trade, oilproducing countries JEL code: E01, E32, C22

Suggested Citation

  • Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2015. "Construction of composite business cycle indicators in a scarce data environment: A case study for Abu Dhabi," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2015(1), pages 83-95.
    • Handle: RePEc:oec:stdkab:5jrtfl9554bt
    DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jrtfl9554bt
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Graff & Dominik Studer, 2018. "Konstruktion von Sammelindikatoren für den Konjunkturverlauf bei prekärer Datenlage am Beispiel Montenegros," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 12(3), pages 81-91, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    business cycle indicators; temporal disaggregation; terms of trade; oilproducing countries jel code: e01; e32; c22;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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