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Loan Defaults and Bank Performance: Is it a Critical Condition for Banks’ Financial Health?

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  • Dimakatso Sekwati

  • Oliver Takawira

  • Emmanuel Amo-Bediako

Abstract

The study explores the impact of loan defaults on the performance of banks in South Africa, applying a three-step panel data model within a quantitative research design. Loan defaults have been a topic of debate not only in South Africa but also globally. The study utilises 10 commercial banks with a timeframe that spans from 2012 to 2023. The Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (PARDL) estimation technique was applied to establish the relationship between loan default and bank’s performance in both long-and short-term. Findings from the study show that in a long run loan default has a negative and significant impact on banks’ performance in South Africa. Further, the study revealed that there exists a unidirectional causal linkage between loan default and banks’ performance. We conclude that banks need to use sound policies and regulations to manage and control loan default. These strategies include asset-based recovery plans, loan loss provisions, enhancing loan portfolio diversity, and fortifying regulatory compliance.

Suggested Citation

  • Dimakatso Sekwati & Oliver Takawira & Emmanuel Amo-Bediako, 2025. "Loan Defaults and Bank Performance: Is it a Critical Condition for Banks’ Financial Health?," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 22(2), pages 204-219.
  • Handle: RePEc:oap:ijaefa:v:22:y:2025:i:2:p:204-219:id:2340
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