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Recession in the Mexican states: magnitude and causes

Author

Listed:
  • Miguel Ángel Díaz Carreño

    (Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, Facultad de Economía, México)

  • Pablo Mejía Reyes

    (Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, Facultad de Economía, México)

  • Alfredo Erquizio Espinal

    (Universidad de Sonora, Facultad de Economía, México)

  • Roberto Ramírez Rodríguez

    (Universidad de Sonora, Facultad de Economía, México)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the role of trade, output structure and capital flows in the drop of output in the Mexican states during the Great Recession (2007-2009) by using a nonpa¬rametric regression approach. The results show that the main variables that explain state output drops, measured on the basis of the state coincident index (ICE) and the manufactu¬ring production index (MAN), are the ratios of the “maquiladora” and the automotive pro¬duction to the manufacturing production (Maq/Man and A/Man, respectively), while when output drops are measured by using the quarterly indicator of the state economic activity (QIEEA), variables such as Maq/Man and the specialization indicator of the automotive production(IE-A) were the most significant explicative variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel Ángel Díaz Carreño & Pablo Mejía Reyes & Alfredo Erquizio Espinal & Roberto Ramírez Rodríguez, 2015. "Recession in the Mexican states: magnitude and causes," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 60(6), pages 147-168, Octubre-D.
  • Handle: RePEc:nax:conyad:v:60:y:2015:i:6:p:147-168
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