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An aspirational approach to planetary futures

Author

Listed:
  • Erle C. Ellis

    (University of Maryland, Baltimore County
    University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • Yadvinder Malhi

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • Hannah Ritchie

    (University of Oxford)

  • Jasper Montana

    (University of Oxford
    Australian National University)

  • Sandra Díaz

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford
    CONICET
    Universidad Nacional de Córdoba)

  • David Obura

    (CORDIO East Africa)

  • Susan Clayton

    (The College of Wooster)

  • Melissa Leach

    (University of Cambridge)

  • Laura Pereira

    (University of the Witwatersrand
    Stockholm University)

  • Emma Marris

    (Independent researcher)

  • Michael Muthukrishna

    (London School of Economics and Political Science
    London School of Economics and Political Science)

  • Bojie Fu

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Peter Frankopan

    (University of Oxford)

  • Molly K. Grace

    (University of Oxford)

  • Samira Barzin

    (University of Oxford)

  • Krushil Watene

    (Auckland Central)

  • Nicholas Depsky

    (United Nations Development Programme)

  • Josefin Pasanen

    (United Nations Development Programme)

  • Pedro Conceição

    (United Nations Development Programme)

Abstract

Prevailing frameworks to address planetary environmental challenges tend to focus on setting goals, targets, or boundaries to limit human harm to ecosystems or species. Here we propose an aspirational approach aimed at empowering people to shape a better future for all of life on Earth. We do this by building on the human development approach and its supporting metrics, especially the Human Development Index (HDI), a broadly influential framework that has contributed to decades of human progress by measuring and promoting people’s capabilities to lead the lives that they value. Rather than assessing the state or dynamics of the biosphere, we propose the Nature Relationship Index (NRI), which would focus on measuring the progress of nations towards delivering mutually beneficial relationships among people and the rest of the living world in terms that people widely understand and value. Through an open-ended process informed by expert consultation, international concept testing and indicator development, the NRI could help to incentivize progress towards a world in which humanity thrives together with the rest of life on Earth. We explore the challenges and opportunities of developing a robust NRI and invite broader participation to facilitate this development in collaboration with the United Nations Development Programme Human Development Report.

Suggested Citation

  • Erle C. Ellis & Yadvinder Malhi & Hannah Ritchie & Jasper Montana & Sandra Díaz & David Obura & Susan Clayton & Melissa Leach & Laura Pereira & Emma Marris & Michael Muthukrishna & Bojie Fu & Peter Fr, 2025. "An aspirational approach to planetary futures," Nature, Nature, vol. 642(8069), pages 889-899, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:642:y:2025:i:8069:d:10.1038_s41586-025-09080-1
    DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-09080-1
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