Author
Listed:
- Matthew H. England
(University of New South Wales)
- Zhi Li
(University of New South Wales)
- Maurice F. Huguenin
(University of New South Wales)
- Andrew E. Kiss
(Australian National University)
- Alex Sen Gupta
(University of New South Wales)
- Ryan M. Holmes
(Australian Bureau of Meteorology)
- Stefan Rahmstorf
(Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)
Abstract
North Atlantic Ocean circulation and temperature patterns profoundly influence global and regional climate across all timescales, from synoptic1 to seasonal2–4, decadal5, multidecadal6,7 and beyond8,9. During 2023, an extreme and near-basin-scale marine heatwave developed during Northern Hemisphere summer, peaking in July. The warming spread across virtually all regions of the North Atlantic, including the subpolar ocean, where a cooling trend over the past 50–100 years has been linked to a slowdown in the meridional overturning circulation10,11. Yet the mechanisms that led to this exceptional surface ocean warming remain unclear. Here we use observationally constrained atmospheric reanalyses alongside ocean observations and model simulations to show that air–sea heat fluxes acting on an extremely shallow surface mixed layer, rather than anomalous ocean heat transport, were responsible for this extreme ocean warming event. The dominant driver is shown to be anomalously weak winds leading to strongly shoaling (shallowing) mixed layers, resulting in a rapid temperature increase in a shallow surface layer of the North Atlantic. Furthermore, solar radiation anomalies made regional-scale warming contributions in locations that approximately correspond to some of the region’s main shipping lanes, suggesting that reduced sulfate emissions could also have played a localized role. With a trend towards shallower mixed layers observed over recent decades, and projections that this will continue into the future, the severity of North Atlantic marine heatwaves is set to worsen.
Suggested Citation
Matthew H. England & Zhi Li & Maurice F. Huguenin & Andrew E. Kiss & Alex Sen Gupta & Ryan M. Holmes & Stefan Rahmstorf, 2025.
"Drivers of the extreme North Atlantic marine heatwave during 2023,"
Nature, Nature, vol. 642(8068), pages 636-643, June.
Handle:
RePEc:nat:nature:v:642:y:2025:i:8068:d:10.1038_s41586-025-08903-5
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-08903-5
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:642:y:2025:i:8068:d:10.1038_s41586-025-08903-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through
the various RePEc services.