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The poleward migration of the location of tropical cyclone maximum intensity

Author

Listed:
  • James P. Kossin

    (NOAA National Climatic Data Center, University of Wisconsin/CIMSS, 1225 West Dayton Street, Madison, Wisconsin 53706, USA)

  • Kerry A. Emanuel

    (Program in Atmospheres, Oceans, and Climate, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Gabriel A. Vecchi

    (NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)

Abstract

Analysis of global historical data in the Northern and Southern hemispheres reveals a statistically significant, poleward migration of 1° per decade in the average latitude at which tropical cyclones have achieved their lifetime-maximum intensity over the past 30 years.

Suggested Citation

  • James P. Kossin & Kerry A. Emanuel & Gabriel A. Vecchi, 2014. "The poleward migration of the location of tropical cyclone maximum intensity," Nature, Nature, vol. 509(7500), pages 349-352, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:509:y:2014:i:7500:d:10.1038_nature13278
    DOI: 10.1038/nature13278
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    Cited by:

    1. Krishneel K. Sharma & Danielle C. Verdon-Kidd & Andrew D. Magee, 2023. "The influence of large-scale climate modes on tropical cyclone tracks in the southwest Pacific," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(3), pages 2285-2307, September.
    2. Pascal Peduzzi, 2019. "The Disaster Risk, Global Change, and Sustainability Nexus," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-21, February.
    3. Qian Ke & Jiangshan Yin & Jeremy D. Bricker & Nicholas Savage & Erasmo Buonomo & Qinghua Ye & Paul Visser & Guangtao Dong & Shuai Wang & Zhan Tian & Laixiang Sun & Ralf Toumi & Sebastiaan N. Jonkman, 2021. "An integrated framework of coastal flood modelling under the failures of sea dikes: a case study in Shanghai," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 671-703, October.
    4. Kieran Bhatia & Alexander Baker & Wenchang Yang & Gabriel Vecchi & Thomas Knutson & Hiroyuki Murakami & James Kossin & Kevin Hodges & Keith Dixon & Benjamin Bronselaer & Carolyn Whitlock, 2022. "A potential explanation for the global increase in tropical cyclone rapid intensification," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Yi Li & Youmin Tang & Shuai Wang & Ralf Toumi & Xiangzhou Song & Qiang Wang, 2023. "Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    6. Chin‐Hsien Yu & Bruce A. McCarl & Jian‐Da Zhu, 2022. "Market response to typhoons: The role of information and expectations," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 89(2), pages 496-521, October.
    7. John Miller & Guilherme Vieira Silva & Darrell Strauss, 2023. "Divergence of tropical cyclone hazard based on wind-weighted track distributions in the Coral Sea, over 50 years," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 2591-2617, March.
    8. Hisayuki Kubota & Jun Matsumoto & Masumi Zaiki & Togo Tsukahara & Takehiko Mikami & Rob Allan & Clive Wilkinson & Sally Wilkinson & Kevin Wood & Mark Mollan, 2021. "Tropical cyclones over the western north Pacific since the mid-nineteenth century," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-19, February.
    9. Pierre Tulet & Bertrand Aunay & Guilhem Barruol & Christelle Barthe & Remi Belon & Soline Bielli & François Bonnardot & Olivier Bousquet & Jean-Pierre Cammas & Julien Cattiaux & Fabrice Chauvin & Idri, 2021. "ReNovRisk: a multidisciplinary programme to study the cyclonic risks in the South-West Indian Ocean," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(2), pages 1191-1223, June.
    10. Xiangbo Feng & Nicholas P. Klingaman & Kevin I. Hodges, 2021. "Poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones related to changes in cyclone seasonality," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    11. Anil Deo & Savin S. Chand & R. Duncan McIntosh & Bipen Prakash & Neil J. Holbrook & Andrew Magee & Alick Haruhiru & Philip Malsale, 2022. "Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands: economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 172(3), pages 1-23, June.
    12. Gan Zhang, 2023. "Warming-induced contraction of tropical convection delays and reduces tropical cyclone formation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    13. Raphaël Rousseau-Rizzi & Kerry Emanuel, 2022. "Natural and anthropogenic contributions to the hurricane drought of the 1970s–1980s," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    14. Kevin Walsh & Christopher J. White & Kathleen McInnes & John Holmes & Sandra Schuster & Harald Richter & Jason P. Evans & Alejandro Luca & Robert A. Warren, 2016. "Natural hazards in Australia: storms, wind and hail," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(1), pages 55-67, November.
    15. Karthik Balaguru & David R. Judi & L. Ruby Leung, 2016. "Future hurricane storm surge risk for the U.S. gulf and Florida coasts based on projections of thermodynamic potential intensity," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 99-110, September.
    16. Ryota Nakamura & Tomoya Shibayama & Miguel Esteban & Takumu Iwamoto, 2016. "Future typhoon and storm surges under different global warming scenarios: case study of typhoon Haiyan (2013)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(3), pages 1645-1681, July.
    17. David Byrne & Kevin Horsburgh & Brian Zachry & Paolo Cipollini, 2017. "Using remotely sensed data to modify wind forcing in operational storm surge forecasting," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(1), pages 275-293, October.
    18. Kin Sik Liu & Johnny C. L. Chan & Hisayuki Kubota, 2021. "Meridional oscillation of tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific during the past 110 years," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(1), pages 1-22, January.
    19. Shifei Tu & Johnny C. L. Chan & Jianjun Xu & Quanjia Zhong & Wen Zhou & Yu Zhang, 2022. "Increase in tropical cyclone rain rate with translation speed," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.

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