IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/nature/v453y2008i7193d10.1038_nature06937.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Attributing physical and biological impacts to anthropogenic climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Cynthia Rosenzweig

    (NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia Center for Climate Systems Research, 2800 Broadway, New York, New York 10025, USA)

  • David Karoly

    (School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne)

  • Marta Vicarelli

    (NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia Center for Climate Systems Research, 2800 Broadway, New York, New York 10025, USA)

  • Peter Neofotis

    (NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia Center for Climate Systems Research, 2800 Broadway, New York, New York 10025, USA)

  • Qigang Wu

    (School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, 100 East Boyd Street, Norman, Oklahoma 73019, USA)

  • Gino Casassa

    (Centro de Estudios Científicos, Avenida Arturo Prat 514, Casilla 1469, Valdivia, Chile)

  • Annette Menzel

    (Center of Life and Food Sciences Weihenstephan, Technical University of Munich, Am Hochanger 13, 85 354 Freising, Germany)

  • Terry L. Root

    (Stanford University, Center for Environmental Science and Policy, Stanford, California 94305, USA)

  • Nicole Estrella

    (Center of Life and Food Sciences Weihenstephan, Technical University of Munich, Am Hochanger 13, 85 354 Freising, Germany)

  • Bernard Seguin

    (INRA Unité Agroclim, Site Agroparc, domaine Saint-Paul, F-84914 Avignon Cedex 9, France)

  • Piotr Tryjanowski

    (Institute of Environmental Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Umultowska 89, PL-61–614 Poznan, Poland)

  • Chunzhen Liu

    (China Water Information Center, Lane 2 Baiguang Road, Beijing 100761, China)

  • Samuel Rawlins

    (Caribbean Epidemiology Center, 16–18 Jamaica Boulevard, Federation ParkPO Box 164, Port of Spain, Trinadad and Tobago)

  • Anton Imeson

    (3D-Environmental Change, Curtiuslaan 14, 1851 AM, Heiloo, Netherlands)

Abstract

Significant changes in physical and biological systems are occurring on all continents and in most oceans, with a concentration of available data in Europe and North America. Most of these changes are in the direction expected with warming temperature. Here we show that these changes in natural systems since at least 1970 are occurring in regions of observed temperature increases, and that these temperature increases at continental scales cannot be explained by natural climate variations alone. Given the conclusions from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report that most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-twentieth century is very likely to be due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations, and furthermore that it is likely that there has been significant anthropogenic warming over the past 50 years averaged over each continent except Antarctica, we conclude that anthropogenic climate change is having a significant impact on physical and biological systems globally and in some continents.

Suggested Citation

  • Cynthia Rosenzweig & David Karoly & Marta Vicarelli & Peter Neofotis & Qigang Wu & Gino Casassa & Annette Menzel & Terry L. Root & Nicole Estrella & Bernard Seguin & Piotr Tryjanowski & Chunzhen Liu &, 2008. "Attributing physical and biological impacts to anthropogenic climate change," Nature, Nature, vol. 453(7193), pages 353-357, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:453:y:2008:i:7193:d:10.1038_nature06937
    DOI: 10.1038/nature06937
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/nature06937
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/nature06937?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cucco, Andrea & Sinerchia, Matteo & Lefrançois, Christel & Magni, Paolo & Ghezzo, Michol & Umgiesser, Georg & Perilli, Angelo & Domenici, Paolo, 2012. "A metabolic scope based model of fish response to environmental changes," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 237, pages 132-141.
    2. Quiroga, Sonia & Iglesias, Ana, 2009. "A comparison of the climate risks of cereal, citrus, grapevine and olive production in Spain," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 101(1-2), pages 91-100, June.
    3. William Ginn, 2022. "Climate Disasters and the Macroeconomy: Does State-Dependence Matter? Evidence for the US," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 141-161, March.
    4. Thornton, P.K. & van de Steeg, J. & Notenbaert, A. & Herrero, M., 2009. "The impacts of climate change on livestock and livestock systems in developing countries: A review of what we know and what we need to know," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 101(3), pages 113-127, July.
    5. Monika Winn & Manfred Kirchgeorg & Andrew Griffiths & Martina K. Linnenluecke & Elmar Günther, 2011. "Impacts from climate change on organizations: a conceptual foundation," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(3), pages 157-173, March.
    6. Reinhard Mechler & Laurens Bouwer, 2015. "Understanding trends and projections of disaster losses and climate change: is vulnerability the missing link?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 133(1), pages 23-35, November.
    7. Dáithí Stone & Maximilian Auffhammer & Mark Carey & Gerrit Hansen & Christian Huggel & Wolfgang Cramer & David Lobell & Ulf Molau & Andrew Solow & Lourdes Tibig & Gary Yohe, 2013. "The challenge to detect and attribute effects of climate change on human and natural systems," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(2), pages 381-395, November.
    8. Malay Kumar Pramanik & Poli Dash & Dimple Behal, 2021. "Improving outcomes for socioeconomic variables with coastal vulnerability index under significant sea-level rise: an approach from Mumbai coasts," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(9), pages 13819-13853, September.
    9. Guttorp Peter, 2012. "Climate Statistics and Public Policy," Statistics, Politics and Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-17, March.
    10. Claesson, Jonas & Nycander, Jonas, 2013. "Combined effect of global warming and increased CO2-concentration on vegetation growth in water-limited conditions," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 256(C), pages 23-30.
    11. Shilu Tong & Peter Mather & Gerry Fitzgerald & David McRae & Ken Verrall & Dylan Walker, 2010. "Assessing the Vulnerability of Eco-Environmental Health to Climate Change," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-19, February.
    12. Francisco Estrada & Pierre Perron, 2019. "Breaks, Trends and the Attribution of Climate Change: A Time-Series Analysis," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 42(83), pages 1-31.
    13. Dadit Hidayat & Randy Stoecker, 2018. "Community-based organizations and environmentalism: how much impact can small, community-based organizations working on environmental issues have?," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 395-406, December.
    14. Samuel Nii Ardey Codjoe & Vivian Adams Nabie, 2014. "Climate Change and Cerebrospinal Meningitis in the Ghanaian Meningitis Belt," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, July.
    15. Pierre Perron & Eduardo Zorita & Francisco Estrada & Pierre Perron, 2017. "Extracting and Analyzing the Warming Trend in Global and Hemispheric Temperatures," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 711-732, September.
    16. Slocum, Alexander H. & Gessel, David J., 2022. "Evolving from a hydrocarbon-based to a sustainable economy: Starting with a case study for Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    17. Lehman, Glen, 2010. "Perspectives on accounting, commonalities & the public sphere," CRITICAL PERSPECTIVES ON ACCOUNTING, Elsevier, vol. 21(8), pages 724-738.
    18. Sovacool, Benjamin K., 2011. "The policy challenges of tradable credits: A critical review of eight markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 575-585, February.
    19. Nguyen The Manh & Mokbul Morshed Ahmad, 2021. "Indigenous farmers' perception of climate change and the use of local knowledge to adapt to climate variability: A case study of Vietnam," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(7), pages 1189-1212, October.
    20. Assuntina Cembalo & Rosaria Lombardo & Eric J. Beh & Gianpaolo Romano & Michele Ferrucci & Francesca M. Pisano, 2021. "Assessment of Climate Change in Italy by Variants of Ordered Correspondence Analysis," Stats, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-16, March.
    21. Yektansani, Kiana & Azizi, SeyedSoroosh, 2021. "Using Machine Learning to Predict Consumers’ Environmental Attitudes and Beliefs," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 313902, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    22. Gift Nxumalo & Bashar Bashir & Karam Alsafadi & Hussein Bachir & Endre Harsányi & Sana Arshad & Safwan Mohammed, 2022. "Meteorological Drought Variability and Its Impact on Wheat Yields across South Africa," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(24), pages 1-22, December.
    23. Thornton, Philip K. & Jones, Peter G. & Alagarswamy, Gopal & Andresen, Jeff & Herrero, Mario, 2010. "Adapting to climate change: Agricultural system and household impacts in East Africa," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 103(2), pages 73-82, February.
    24. De Petris, Caterina & Drechsler, Martin, 2023. "Harnessing social norms to gain cost-effectiveness in conservation schemes through dynamic scheme design: implications of bounded rationality and other-regarding preferences for Payments for Ecosystem," MPRA Paper 119534, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 Jan 2024.
    25. Desalegn D. Serba & Reagan W. Hejl & Worku Burayu & Kai Umeda & Bradley Shaun Bushman & Clinton F. Williams, 2022. "Pertinent Water-Saving Management Strategies for Sustainable Turfgrass in the Desert U.S. Southwest," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-17, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:453:y:2008:i:7193:d:10.1038_nature06937. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.