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Sea-level rise from land subsidence in major coastal cities

Author

Listed:
  • Cheryl Tay

    (Nanyang Technological University
    Nanyang Technological University)

  • Eric O. Lindsey

    (Nanyang Technological University
    University of New Mexico)

  • Shi Tong Chin

    (Nanyang Technological University)

  • Jamie W. McCaughey

    (Institute for Environmental Decisions, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich)

  • David Bekaert

    (NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory/Caltech)

  • Michele Nguyen

    (Nanyang Technological University)

  • Hook Hua

    (NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory/Caltech)

  • Gerald Manipon

    (NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory/Caltech)

  • Mohammed Karim

    (NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory/Caltech)

  • Benjamin P. Horton

    (Nanyang Technological University
    Nanyang Technological University)

  • Tanghua Li

    (Nanyang Technological University)

  • Emma M. Hill

    (Nanyang Technological University
    Nanyang Technological University)

Abstract

Coastal land can be lost at rapid rates due to relative sea-level rise (RSLR) resulting from local land subsidence. However, the comparative severity of local land subsidence is unknown due to high spatial variabilities and difficulties reconciling observations across localities. Here we provide self-consistent, high spatial resolution relative local land subsidence (RLLS) velocities derived from Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar for the 48 largest coastal cities, which represent 20% of the global urban population. We show that cities experiencing the fastest RLLS are concentrated in Asia. RLLS is also more variable across the 48 cities (−16.2 to 1.1 mm per year) than the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimations of vertical land motion (−5.2 to 4.9 mm per year). With our standardized method, the identification of relative vulnerabilities to RLLS and comparisons of RSLR effects accounting for RLLS are now possible across cities worldwide. These will better inform sustainable urban planning and future adaptation strategies in coastal cities.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheryl Tay & Eric O. Lindsey & Shi Tong Chin & Jamie W. McCaughey & David Bekaert & Michele Nguyen & Hook Hua & Gerald Manipon & Mohammed Karim & Benjamin P. Horton & Tanghua Li & Emma M. Hill, 2022. "Sea-level rise from land subsidence in major coastal cities," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 5(12), pages 1049-1057, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natsus:v:5:y:2022:i:12:d:10.1038_s41893-022-00947-z
    DOI: 10.1038/s41893-022-00947-z
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    Cited by:

    1. Leon HAUSER & Roberta BONI & Philip S.J. MINDERHOUD & Pietro TEATINI & Marie-Noëlle WOILLEZ & Rafael ALMAR & Selasi Yao AVORNYO & Kwasi APPEANING ADDO, 2023. "A scoping study on coastal vulnerability to relative sealevel rise in the Gulf of Guinea," Working Paper da6cc701-670f-4e44-bf9c-c, Agence française de développement.

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