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Marine ice regulates the future stability of a large Antarctic ice shelf

Author

Listed:
  • Bernd Kulessa

    (Glaciology Group, College of Science, Swansea University)

  • Daniela Jansen

    (Glaciology Group, College of Science, Swansea University
    Present address: Division of Glaciology, Alfred-Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, 27568 Bremerhaven, Germany)

  • Adrian J. Luckman

    (Glaciology Group, College of Science, Swansea University)

  • Edward C. King

    (British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council)

  • Peter R. Sammonds

    (Rock and Ice Physics Laboratory and Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, University College London)

Abstract

The collapses of the Larsen A and B ice shelves on the Antarctic Peninsula in 1995 and 2002 confirm the impact of southward-propagating climate warming in this region. Recent mass and dynamic changes of Larsen B’s southern neighbour Larsen C, the fourth largest ice shelf in Antarctica, may herald a similar instability. Here, using a validated ice-shelf model run in diagnostic mode, constrained by satellite and in situ geophysical data, we identify the nature of this potential instability. We demonstrate that the present-day spatial distribution and orientation of the principal stresses within Larsen C ice shelf are akin to those within pre-collapse Larsen B. When Larsen B’s stabilizing frontal portion was lost in 1995, the unstable remaining shelf accelerated, crumbled and ultimately collapsed. We hypothesize that Larsen C ice shelf may suffer a similar fate if it were not stabilized by warm and mechanically soft marine ice, entrained within narrow suture zones.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernd Kulessa & Daniela Jansen & Adrian J. Luckman & Edward C. King & Peter R. Sammonds, 2014. "Marine ice regulates the future stability of a large Antarctic ice shelf," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 5(1), pages 1-7, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:5:y:2014:i:1:d:10.1038_ncomms4707
    DOI: 10.1038/ncomms4707
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    Cited by:

    1. K. E. Miles & B. Hubbard & A. Luckman & B. Kulessa & S. Bevan & S. Thompson & G. Jones, 2025. "Influence of the grounding zone on the internal structure of ice shelves," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-9, December.

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