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Explainable multimodal deep learning for predicting thyroid cancer lateral lymph node metastasis using ultrasound imaging

Author

Listed:
  • Pengcheng Shen

    (Shanghai Jiao Tong University)

  • Zheyu Yang

    (Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine)

  • Jingjing Sun

    (Tongji University)

  • Yun Wang

    (Xuzhou Central Hospital)

  • Cheng Qiu

    (Nantong University)

  • Yirou Wang

    (Shanghai Jiao Tong University)

  • Yongyong Ren

    (Shanghai Jiao Tong University
    Shanghai Jiao Tong University)

  • Sheng Liu

    (Tongji University)

  • Wei Cai

    (Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine)

  • Hui Lu

    (Shanghai Jiao Tong University
    Shanghai Jiao Tong University
    Shanghai Academy of Experimental Medicine)

  • Siqiong Yao

    (Shanghai Jiao Tong University
    Shanghai Jiao Tong University)

Abstract

Preoperative prediction of lateral lymph node metastasis is clinically crucial for guiding surgical strategy and prognosis assessment, yet precise prediction methods are lacking. We therefore develop Lateral Lymph Node Metastasis Network (LLNM-Net), a bidirectional-attention deep-learning model that fuses multimodal data (preoperative ultrasound images, radiology reports, pathological findings, and demographics) from 29,615 patients and 9836 surgical cases across seven centers. Integrating nodule morphology and position with clinical text, LLNM-Net achieves an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.944 and 84.7% accuracy in multicenter testing, outperforming human experts (64.3% accuracy) and surpassing previous models by 7.4%. Here we show tumors within 0.25 cm of the thyroid capsule carry >72% metastasis risk, with middle and upper lobes as high-risk regions. Leveraging location, shape, echogenicity, margins, demographics, and clinician inputs, LLNM-Net further attains an AUC of 0.983 for identifying high-risk patients. The model is thus a promising for tool for preoperative screening and risk stratification.

Suggested Citation

  • Pengcheng Shen & Zheyu Yang & Jingjing Sun & Yun Wang & Cheng Qiu & Yirou Wang & Yongyong Ren & Sheng Liu & Wei Cai & Hui Lu & Siqiong Yao, 2025. "Explainable multimodal deep learning for predicting thyroid cancer lateral lymph node metastasis using ultrasound imaging," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-17, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:16:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-025-62042-z
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-62042-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fang Dai & Siqiong Yao & Min Wang & Yicheng Zhu & Xiangjun Qiu & Peng Sun & Cheng Qiu & Jisheng Yin & Guangtai Shen & Jingjing Sun & Maofeng Wang & Yun Wang & Zheyu Yang & Jianfeng Sang & Xiaolei Wang, 2025. "Improving AI models for rare thyroid cancer subtype by text guided diffusion models," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-16, December.
    2. Jinhua Yu & Yinhui Deng & Tongtong Liu & Jin Zhou & Xiaohong Jia & Tianlei Xiao & Shichong Zhou & Jiawei Li & Yi Guo & Yuanyuan Wang & Jianqiao Zhou & Cai Chang, 2020. "Lymph node metastasis prediction of papillary thyroid carcinoma based on transfer learning radiomics," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
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