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Cropping frequency and area response to climate variability can exceed yield response

Author

Listed:
  • Avery S. Cohn

    (Fletcher School at Tufts University)

  • Leah K. VanWey

    (Institute at Brown for Environment and Society, Brown University, Box 1951
    Brown University, Box 1916)

  • Stephanie A. Spera

    (Institute at Brown for Environment and Society, Brown University, Box 1951
    Environmental and Planetary Sciences, Brown University, Box 1846)

  • John F. Mustard

    (Institute at Brown for Environment and Society, Brown University, Box 1951
    Environmental and Planetary Sciences, Brown University, Box 1846)

Abstract

About 70% of agricultural output variance due to climate in Mato Grosso, Brazil was determined by changes in cropping frequency and/or changes in cropping area rather than yield (the most common climate impact indicator), a study now shows.

Suggested Citation

  • Avery S. Cohn & Leah K. VanWey & Stephanie A. Spera & John F. Mustard, 2016. "Cropping frequency and area response to climate variability can exceed yield response," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(6), pages 601-604, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:6:y:2016:i:6:d:10.1038_nclimate2934
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2934
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    Cited by:

    1. Li Jiang & Xin Chen & Fei Lun & Zhihua Pan & Jiaheng Niu & Chenyang Ding & Lijun Meng & Guoliang Zhang & Charles Peter Mgeni & Stefan Sieber & Pingli An, 2019. "Spatial Distribution and Changes of the Realizable Triple Cropping System in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-18, March.
    2. Elahi, Ehsan & Khalid, Zainab & Tauni, Muhammad Zubair & Zhang, Hongxia & Lirong, Xing, 2022. "Extreme weather events risk to crop-production and the adaptation of innovative management strategies to mitigate the risk: A retrospective survey of rural Punjab, Pakistan," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    3. Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, 2021. "Climate, Agriculture and Food," Papers 2105.12044, arXiv.org.
    4. Massigoge, Ignacio & Carcedo, Ana & de Borja Reis, Andre Froes & Mitchell, Clay & Day, Scott & Oliverio, Joaquin & Truong, Sandra H. & McCormick, Ryan F. & Rotundo, Jose & Lira, Sara & Ciampitti, Igna, 2023. "Exploring avenues for agricultural intensification: A case study for maize-soybean in the Southern US region," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    5. Minghui Zhang & Gabriel Abrahao & Sally Thompson, 2021. "Sensitivity of soybean planting date to wet season onset in Mato Grosso, Brazil, and implications under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 168(3), pages 1-28, October.
    6. Flach, Rafaela & Abrahão, Gabriel & Bryant, Benjamin & Scarabello, Marluce & Soterroni, Aline C. & Ramos, Fernando M. & Valin, Hugo & Obersteiner, Michael & Cohn, Avery S., 2021. "Conserving the Cerrado and Amazon biomes of Brazil protects the soy economy from damaging warming," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    7. Kaikai Fang & Xiaomei Yi & Wei Dai & Hui Gao & Linkui Cao, 2019. "Effects of Integrated Rice-Frog Farming on Paddy Field Greenhouse Gas Emissions," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-17, May.
    8. Hildegart Ahumada & Magdalena Cornejo, 2021. "Are Soybean Yields Getting a Free Ride from Climate Change? Evidence from Argentine Time Series Data," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-14, June.
    9. Singh, Kuntal & McClean, Colin J. & Büker, Patrick & Hartley, Sue E. & Hill, Jane K., 2017. "Mapping regional risks from climate change for rainfed rice cultivation in India," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 76-84.
    10. José Amador Honorato-Salazar & Jorge Aburto & Myriam Adela Amezcua-Allieri, 2021. "Agave and Opuntia Species as Sustainable Feedstocks for Bioenergy and Byproducts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-18, November.
    11. Wenjian He & Yiyang Liu & Huaping Sun & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2020. "How Does Climate Change Affect Rice Yield in China?," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, September.
    12. Xinde Ji & Kelly M. Cobourn, 2021. "Weather Fluctuations, Expectation Formation, and Short-Run Behavioral Responses to Climate Change," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 78(1), pages 77-119, January.
    13. Shen, Ge & Yu, Qiangyi & Zhou, Qingbo & Wang, Cong & Wu, Wenbin, 2023. "From multiple cropping frequency to multiple cropping system: A new perspective for the characterization of cropland use intensity," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    14. Hildegart Ahumada & Magdalena Cornejo, 2019. "How econometrics can help us understand the effects of climate change on crop yields: the case of soybeans," School of Government Working Papers wp_gob_2019_2, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
    15. Christopher N. Boyer & Eunchun Park & Seong D. Yun, 2023. "Corn and soybean prevented planting acres response to weather," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(2), pages 970-983, June.
    16. Rezwanul Parvez & Nazea Hasan Khan Chowdhury, 2020. "Weather and Crop Management Impact on Crop Yield Variability," Agriculture and Food Sciences Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 7(1), pages 7-15.
    17. Cui, X., 2018. "Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from US Acreage Response," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277094, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    18. Hildegart Ahumada & Magdalena Cornejo, 2019. "How econometrics can help us understand the effects of climate change on crop yields: the case of soybeans," School of Government Working Papers 201902, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
    19. Tingting Li & Yanfei Wang & Changquan Liu & Shuangshuang Tu, 2021. "Research on Identification of Multiple Cropping Index of Farmland and Regional Optimization Scheme in China Based on NDVI Data," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-16, August.
    20. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Schnitkey, Gary D. & Irwin, Scott H. & Colussi, Joana & Zucchini, Cristian & Rossetti, Marcelo & Elustondo, Luciana, 2023. "A Comparative Study of the Use of Climate Information in Agriculture in the US Midwest, Argentine Pampas, and Southern Brazil," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335987, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    21. Peter Richards, 2018. "It’s not just where you farm; it’s whether your neighbor does too. How agglomeration economies are shaping new agricultural landscapes," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 87-110.
    22. Adeline M. Maciel & Michelle C. A. Picoli & Lubia Vinhas & Gilberto Camara, 2020. "Identifying Land Use Change Trajectories in Brazil’s Agricultural Frontier," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-16, December.
    23. Cui, Xiaomeng, 2020. "Climate change and adaptation in agriculture: Evidence from US cropping patterns," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).

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