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Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming

Author

Listed:
  • Wenju Cai

    (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research
    Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Qingdao Collaborative Innovation Center of Marine Science and Technology, Ocean University of China)

  • Simon Borlace

    (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research)

  • Matthieu Lengaigne

    (Laboratoire d’Océanographie et du Climat: Expérimentation et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN), IRD/UPMC/CNRS/MNHN)

  • Peter van Rensch

    (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research)

  • Mat Collins

    (College of Engineering Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Harrison Building, Streatham Campus, University of Exeter)

  • Gabriel Vecchi

    (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA)

  • Axel Timmermann

    (IPRC, SOEST, University of Hawaii)

  • Agus Santoso

    (Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Level 4 Mathews Building, The University of New South Wales)

  • Michael J. McPhaden

    (NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory)

  • Lixin Wu

    (Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Qingdao Collaborative Innovation Center of Marine Science and Technology, Ocean University of China)

  • Matthew H. England

    (Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Level 4 Mathews Building, The University of New South Wales)

  • Guojian Wang

    (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research
    Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Qingdao Collaborative Innovation Center of Marine Science and Technology, Ocean University of China)

  • Eric Guilyardi

    (Laboratoire d’Océanographie et du Climat: Expérimentation et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN), IRD/UPMC/CNRS/MNHN
    NCAS-Climate, University of Reading)

  • Fei-Fei Jin

    (SOEST, University of Hawaii)

Abstract

Extreme El Niño events cause global disruption of weather patterns and affect ecosystems and agriculture through changes in rainfall. Model projections show that a doubling in the occurrence of such extreme episodes is caused by increased surface warming of the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, which results in the atmospheric conditions required for these event to occur.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenju Cai & Simon Borlace & Matthieu Lengaigne & Peter van Rensch & Mat Collins & Gabriel Vecchi & Axel Timmermann & Agus Santoso & Michael J. McPhaden & Lixin Wu & Matthew H. England & Guojian Wang &, 2014. "Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(2), pages 111-116, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:4:y:2014:i:2:d:10.1038_nclimate2100
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2100
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