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Metodologie di ricostruzione di serie storiche di contabilità nazionale: alcune riflessioni preliminari

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  • Ornello Vitali
  • Alessandro Polli

Abstract

A somewhat puzzling result confirmed by many studies on Italian economic growth is the apparent staticity showed by the economic system in the first 30-years post-unitarian period, if compared with the dynamics of other European countries. Not surprisingly, the agreement between inter-pretations on Italian first stage of growth has been affected by availability and robustness of economic time series that, for the post-unitarian period, were built by means of missing data reconstruction and linear back-casting techniques. After recognizing that 'statistical artificiality' embedded in the previous estimates could lead to partially biased historical interpretations, we stress the role of both non-linear statistical methodologies and price-quantity two-level analysis approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Ornello Vitali & Alessandro Polli, 2003. "Metodologie di ricostruzione di serie storiche di contabilità nazionale: alcune riflessioni preliminari," Rivista di storia economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2, pages 181-194.
    • Handle: RePEc:mul:jrkmxm:doi:10.1410/9558:y:2003:i:2:p:181-194
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