IDEAS home Printed from
MyIDEAS: Log in (now much improved!) to save this article

Sustainability of Budget Deficits

Listed author(s):
  • Yoshibumi Aso

    (Professor, Faculty of Law, Keio University)

Registered author(s):

    This paper examines theoretical models that underpin studies on gsustainability of budget deficits h, which have been drawing interest in recent years, and also explains methods of empirical tests. The paper starts with a discussion on the intertemporal government budget constraint in a certainty model and then expands the discussion to under uncertainty. Under uncertainty, the issue of whether or not Ponzi schemes are feasible in a dynamically efficient economy is theoretically important. When the economy is dynamically efficient in the gstrict h sense, Ponzi schemes are infeasible. Although it is possible for the risk-free interest rate to be lower than the economic growth rate on average under sufficient uncertainty, it is important to ensure that Ponzi schemes are infeasible even in such a case. Empirical research on fiscal sustainability started with a study by Hamilton and Flavin, which sought to examine whether the present value borrowing constraint is satisfied. Later, the premise of their analysis (stationarity of primary surplus) was disputed by Wilcox and by Trehan and Walsh, and different tests were proposed. In addition, Bohn proposed another test from a different perspective. This paper explains those methods and points out their problems.

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    Article provided by Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan in its journal Public Policy Review.

    Volume (Year): 9 (2013)
    Issue (Month): 4 (September)
    Pages: 661-686

    in new window

    Handle: RePEc:mof:journl:ppr023d
    Contact details of provider: Web page:

    More information through EDIRC

    No references listed on IDEAS
    You can help add them by filling out this form.

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mof:journl:ppr023d. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Policy Research Institute)

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.