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Predicting return intentions in Madrid


  • Raquel Caro

    () (University Institute for Studies on Migrations, Comillas Pontifical University, Spain.)

  • Mercedes Fernández

    () (University Institute for Studies on Migrations, Comillas Pontifical University, Spain.)

  • Consuelo Valbuena

    () (Business and Administration, Francisco de Vitoria University, Spain.)


Although Spain has only recently turned out to be an immigrant-receiving country, because of the economic downturn, Spanish authorities are becoming increasingly concerned about return migration. The main aim of this paper is to analyse the underlying variables of return intention of migrants in the Autonomous Community of Madrid in order to extract policy implications in the return arena. The microdata source is the Regional Immigration Survey 2011–2012. Our main finding is that having a job in Spain is the most important constraint to returning. In any case, return intentions vary with age groups, so policy design should be different according to this variable.

Suggested Citation

  • Raquel Caro & Mercedes Fernández & Consuelo Valbuena, 2016. "Predicting return intentions in Madrid," Migration Letters, Transnational Press London, UK, vol. 13(1), pages 116-130, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:mig:journl:v:13:y:2016:i:1:p:116-130

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    Cited by:

    1. Ngoc Thi Minh Tran & Michael P. Cameron & Jacques Poot, 2018. "Return or Not Return? The Role of Home-Country Institutional Quality in Vietnamese Migrants’ Return Intentions," Working Papers in Economics 18/04, University of Waikato.


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