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Shackle’s potential surprise function and the formation of expectations in a monetary economy

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  • Andres F. Cantillo

Abstract

G.L.S. Shackle’s potential surprise function attacks the determinism that is central to neoclassical economics. He builds a model of creative individual choice that is nondeterministic and fits well with Keynes’s macroanalysis of monetary economies. Shackle provides a language and a method that allows a translation of originative thoughts into observable actions that can be represented and measured in scalar monetary terms. This provides a bridge between the subjective individual and a nondeterministic macroeconomic outcome. Shackle’s method dovetails with a conventional-evolutionistic approach that is able to explain social context and history under conditions of fundamental uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Andres F. Cantillo, 2014. "Shackle’s potential surprise function and the formation of expectations in a monetary economy," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 233-253, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:37:y:2014:i:2:p:233-253
    DOI: 10.2753/PKE0160-3477370203
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    Cited by:

    1. Marina Bianchi & Sergio Nisticò, 2018. "Shackle: an enquirer into choice," Working Papers 2018-03, Universita' di Cassino, Dipartimento di Economia e Giurisprudenza.
    2. Annie Tubadji, 2021. "Culture and mental health resilience in times of COVID-19," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 34(4), pages 1219-1259, October.

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