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On the relation between currency depreciation and domestic investment

Author

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
  • Massomeh Hajilee

Abstract

In introducing an absorption approach to the trade balance, Alexander (1952) argued that if wages do not adjust fully to the inflationary effects of devaluation, devaluation can redistribute income from workers to producers in the form of increased profits. Increased profits, in turn, could give incentive to producers to invest more. On the other hand, because devaluation raises the costs of imported inputs, it could lower profits. Depending on the relative strength of these two channels, domestic investment could increase or decrease. By giving greater consideration to the short-run and the long-run effect of currency depreciation on domestic investment, this paper presents empirical results from a time-series model of 50 countries. We find that the devaluation-investment link is mostly a short-run phenomenon. However, in 21 countries in which the short-run effects last into the long run, both views are supported, almost equally.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Massomeh Hajilee, 2010. "On the relation between currency depreciation and domestic investment," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 645-660, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:32:y:2010:i:4:p:645-660
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos A. Ibarra, 2016. "Investment, asset market, and the relative unit labor cost in Mexico," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 339-364, November.
    2. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Hajilee, Massomeh, 2013. "Exchange rate volatility and its impact on domestic investment," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 1-12.
    3. Gilberto Lima & Gabriel Porcile, 2013. "Economic growth and income distribution with heterogeneous preferences on the real exchange rate," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 651-674.
    4. Razmi, Arslan & Rapetti, Martin & Skott, Peter, 2012. "The real exchange rate and economic development," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 151-169.
    5. Carolina Troncoso Baltar & Celio Hiratuka & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2014. "Investment in the Brazilian manufacturing industry and the real exchange rate: An investigation using sectoral-level panel data," Competence Centre on Money, Trade, Finance and Development 1408, Hochschule fuer Technik und Wirtschaft, Berlin.
    6. Njindan Iyke, Bernard & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2017. "Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Domestic Consumption in Ghana," MPRA Paper 78852, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Ho, Sin-Yu & Njindan Iyke, Bernard, 2017. "Consumption and Exchange Rate Uncertainty: Evidence from Selected Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 80096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Carlos A. Ibarra, 2014. "Trade, investment, and capital flows:Mexico's macroeconomic adjustment to the Great Recession," Working Paper Series Sobre México 2014002, Sobre México. Temas en economía.
    9. repec:eee:quaeco:v:66:y:2017:i:c:p:149-158 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Sheida Teimouri, 2015. "Currency crises and dynamics of real wages," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 151(2), pages 377-403, May.
    11. Muhammad Shahbaz & Faridul Islam & Muhammad Sabihuddin Butt, 2013. "Devaluation and Income Inequality Nexus: Evidence from Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 1(4), pages 48-58, April.
    12. BAHMANI-OSKOOEE, Mohsen & HALICIOGLU, Ferda & Neumann, Rebecca, 2016. "Domestic Investment Responses to Changes in the Real Exchange Rate: Asymmetries of Appreciation versus Depreciation," MPRA Paper 82941, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Apr 2016.

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