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Realized Semivariances and the Variation of Signed Jumps in China’s Stock Market

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  • Nengsheng Fang
  • Wen Jiang
  • Ronghua Luo

Abstract

In this article, we explore the asymmetric predictability of realized semivariances and the difference of signed jump variations in China’s stock market with high frequency data from 2006 to 2013. Our empirical results show that (1) future volatilities are more (less) related to historical realized semivariances computed by negative returns than that calculated by positive returns in the short (long) run; (2) short-sale restriction might be one of the significant factors causing asymmetric effects in China’s stock market; and (3) realized semivariances and the difference of signed jump variations significantly overpass high-order realized moments in predicting the index returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Nengsheng Fang & Wen Jiang & Ronghua Luo, 2017. "Realized Semivariances and the Variation of Signed Jumps in China’s Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(3), pages 563-586, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:53:y:2017:i:3:p:563-586
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2015.1095566
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    Cited by:

    1. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Peng, Zhe & Bouri, Elie, 2021. "Asymmetric volatility spillover among Chinese sectors during COVID-19," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Alessio Brini & Jimmie Lenz, 2024. "A Comparison of Cryptocurrency Volatility-benchmarking New and Mature Asset Classes," Papers 2404.04962, arXiv.org.

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