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Emerging Bond Market Volatility and Country Spreads

Author

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  • Seungyeon Won
  • Young Sup Yun
  • Byoung Joon Kim

Abstract

Using JPMorgan's emerging market bond index, this paper analyzes how increases in country credit spreads can persist in emerging bond markets. The results of T-GARCH regressions show that, during financial crisis periods, emerging countries' credit spreads may increase persistently as a result of interaction between changes in spreads and volatilities, making emerging bond markets more turbulent. The results suggest that emerging countries should endeavor to develop a stabilization mechanism by enhancing information efficiency in bond markets. In particular, because Asian countries have experienced persistent, overreactive volatility, this paper implies that Asian countries should work together more closely during financial crisis periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Seungyeon Won & Young Sup Yun & Byoung Joon Kim, 2013. "Emerging Bond Market Volatility and Country Spreads," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(1), pages 82-100, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:49:y:2013:i:1:p:82-100
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Abu S. Amin & Lucjan T. Orlowski, 2014. "Returns, Volatilities, and Correlations Across Mature, Regional, and Frontier Markets: Evidence from South Asia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 5-27, May.
    2. Zongxin Qian & Qian Luo, 2016. "Regime-Dependent Determinants of China’s Sovereign Credit Default Swap Spread," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(1), pages 10-21, January.
    3. Kutan, Ali M. & Muradoğlu, Yaz G., 2016. "Financial and real sector returns, IMF-related news, and the Asian crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 28-37.
    4. Petra Palic & Petra Posedel Simovic & Maruska Vizek, 2017. "The Determinants of Country Risk Premium Volatility: Evidence from a Panel VAR Model," Croatian Economic Survey, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, vol. 19(1), pages 37-66, June.
    5. Ali M. Kutan & Yaz Gülnür Muradoğlu & Zhong Yu, 2016. "Worldwide impact of IMF policies during the Asian crisis: who does the IMF help, creditors or crisis countries?," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 116-147, June.
    6. Inci Gumus, 2016. "The Relationship Between Sovereign Spreads and International Reserves: Does the Exchange Rate Regime Matter?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 658-673, March.
    7. Steeley, James M. & Matyushkin, Alexander, 2015. "The effects of quantitative easing on the volatility of the gilt-edged market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 113-128.
    8. Edgardo Cayón, 2014. "The Effects of Contagion During the Global Financial Crisis in Government-Regulated and Sponsored Assets in Emerging Markets," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 3-2014.
    9. Edgardo Cayón, 2014. "The Effects of Contagion During the Global Financial Crisis in Government-Regulated and Sponsored Assets in Emerging Markets," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 30, July-Dece.

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