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Zur wirtschaftspolitischen Nützlichkeit von Konjunkturprognosen

Author

Listed:
  • Helmstädter Ernst

    (Institut für industriewirtschaftliche Forschung der Westfälischen Wilhelms-Universität Münster Wermelingstraße 9, D - 48147 Münster)

  • Hüther Michael

    (Generalsekretär des Sachverständigenrates zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11, D- 65189, Wiesbaden)

  • Langfeldt Enno

    (Institut für Weltwirtschaft an der Universität Kiel Düsternbrooker Weg 120, D -24105 Kiel)

Abstract

The economic policy forum deals with the question of whether economic policies need economic forecasts. Principally, all three authors agree on their usefulness. However, while Ernst Helmstädter argues that such forecasts can improve the decisions of economic policy-makers, he identifies the making of forecasts as the main problem. In order to enhance the predictive power of forecasts and thus their usefulness for economic policy, he suggests to focus more at cyclical regularities which can be observed for important economic indicators such as exports and investments.

Suggested Citation

  • Helmstädter Ernst & Hüther Michael & Langfeldt Enno, 1996. "Zur wirtschaftspolitischen Nützlichkeit von Konjunkturprognosen," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 45(2), pages 161-186, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:lus:zwipol:v:45:y:1996:i:2:p:161-186:n:3
    DOI: 10.1515/zfwp-1996-0203
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    Cited by:

    1. Grömling, Michael, 2002. "Konjunkturprognosen: Methoden, Risiken und Treffsicherheiten," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 29(2), pages 18-26.

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