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Long-Term External Position and Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Jair Ojeda
  • Jhon Torres

Abstract

This paper calculates an equilibrium level for Net Foreign Assets (NFA) in Colombia, and discusses its implications for the real exchange rate (RER). In order to obtain the equilibrium level of NFA, we estimate a cointegrating vector with fixed-effects panel data adjusted by using Dynamic Least Squares (DOLS). From this estimated long-run level of NFA, we analyze the implications on the RER by means of the External Sustainability methodology, which allows deriving ideal levels for the current account and the RER. Our main results show that the NFA levels have been close to their long-run levelsin recent years. Furthermore, the RER has fluctuated above its ideal levels because the observed current account has been better than the normative levels implied by this estimation.

Suggested Citation

  • Jair Ojeda & Jhon Torres, 2012. "Long-Term External Position and Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in Colombia," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 77, pages 9-52.
    • Handle: RePEc:lde:journl:y:2012:i:77:p:9-52
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    File URL: https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/lecturasdeeconomia/issue/view/1332
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Net Foreign Assets; Current Account Norm; Underlying Current Account; Real Exchange Rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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