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Empirical Identification of Non-informational Trades Using Trading Volume Data

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  • Lee, Bong-Soo
  • Rui, Oliver M

Abstract

This paper empirically identifies non-informational and informational trades using stock returns and trading volume data of the U.S., Japanese, and U.K. stock markets and five individual firms. We achieve the identification by imposing a restriction from theoretical considerations. Our results show that trading volume is mainly driven by non-informational trades, while stock price movements are primarily driven by informational trades. We also find that, around the 1987 stock market crash, trading volumes due to non-informational trades increased dramatically, while the decline in stock market prices was due mainly to informational trades. Increases in volatilities both in returns and in trading volumes during and after the crash are mainly due to non-informational trades. Regarding the trading volume-serial correlation in the stock returns relationship, we find evidence that is consistent with theoretical predictions that non-informational components can account for high trading volume accompanied by a low serial correlation of stock returns. Copyright 2001 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Bong-Soo & Rui, Oliver M, 2001. "Empirical Identification of Non-informational Trades Using Trading Volume Data," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 327-350, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:17:y:2001:i:4:p:327-50
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    Cited by:

    1. Chuang, Wen-I & Lee, Bong-Soo, 2006. "An empirical evaluation of the overconfidence hypothesis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(9), pages 2489-2515, September.
    2. Rodrigo Aranda & Patricio Jaramillo, 2008. "Nonlinear Dynamic in the Chilean Stock Market: Evidence from Returns and Trading Volume," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 463, Central Bank of Chile.
    3. Fredj Jawadi & Waël Louhichi & Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou & Rivo Randrianarivony, 2016. "Intraday jumps and trading volume: a nonlinear Tobit specification," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1167-1186, November.
    4. Rodrigo F. Aranda L. & Patricio Jaramillo G., 2010. "Non-linear Dynamics in the Chilean Stock Market: Evidence on Traded Volumes and Returns," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 13(3), pages 67-94, December.

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