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Tax enforcement and firm performance: real and reporting responses to risk-based tax audits

Author

Listed:
  • Jarkko Harju

    (Tampere University & Finnish Centre of Tax Systems Research (FIT) & CESifo)

  • Kaisa Kotakorpi

    (Tampere University & Finnish Centre of Tax Systems Research (FIT) & CESifo)

  • Tuomas Matikka

    (VATT Institute for Economic Research & Finnish Centre of Tax Systems Research (FIT) & CESifo)

  • Annika Nivala

    (VATT Institute for Economic Research & Finnish Centre of Tax Systems Research (FIT))

Abstract

We analyze firm responses to risk-based tax audits using data on the full population of firms in Finland. We find an immediate and persistent increase in reported profits by the audited firms after audit, compared to matched non-audited firms with a similar development in key outcomes before the audit. This indicates non-compliance in the baseline. Both revenue and labor costs increase after audit, suggesting that some firms follow a strategy of under-reporting their overall scale of operation. Our most novel finding is that audits increase bankruptcies among non-compliant firms, which implies that tax enforcement has real effects on market outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Jarkko Harju & Kaisa Kotakorpi & Tuomas Matikka & Annika Nivala, 2025. "Tax enforcement and firm performance: real and reporting responses to risk-based tax audits," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 32(6), pages 1734-1776, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:itaxpf:v:32:y:2025:i:6:d:10.1007_s10797-025-09895-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10797-025-09895-8
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