IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jid/journl/y2012v21i1p28-64.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessing the Predictive Power of Vulnerability Measures:Evidence from Panel Data for Argentina and Chile

Author

Listed:
  • Marcelo Bérgolo

    (CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata,and IECON, Universidad de la República)

  • Guillermo Cruces

    (CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, and CONICET)

  • Andrés Ham

    (University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign)

Abstract

This article carries out a validation exercise of vulnerability measures as predictors of poverty at the aggregate and micro levels based on short and long term panel data for Argentina and Chile. It then compares their performance to that of deprivation indicators. The main findings indicate that while vulnerability measures are good predictors of poverty in the aggregate, the same does not occur at household level. These results imply that while useful, vulnerability estimates require incorporating shocks to attenuate biased estimates if they are to be used for targeting purposes.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcelo Bérgolo & Guillermo Cruces & Andrés Ham, 2012. "Assessing the Predictive Power of Vulnerability Measures:Evidence from Panel Data for Argentina and Chile," Journal of Income Distribution, Ad libros publications inc., vol. 21(1), pages 28-64, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:jid:journl:y:2012:v:21:i:1:p:28-64
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://jid.journals.yorku.ca/index.php/jid/article/view/32126
    Download Restriction: Some fulltext downloads are only available to subscribers. See JID website for details.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Maike Hohberg & Katja Landau & Thomas Kneib & Stephan Klasen & Walter Zucchini, 2018. "Vulnerability to poverty revisited: Flexible modeling and better predictive performance," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 16(3), pages 439-454, September.
    2. Amuzu, Joshua & Kabo- Bah, Amos T. & Jallow, Bubu Pateh & Yaffa, Sidat, 2018. "Households’ Livelihood Vulnerability to Climate Change and Climate Variability: A Case Study of the Coastal Zone, The Gambia," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 35-46.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    vulnerability; poverty; targeting; Argentina; Chile;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jid:journl:y:2012:v:21:i:1:p:28-64. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Timm Boenke (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/gyorkca.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.