IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jda/journl/vol.49year2015issue4pp89-107.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stock market and tax revenue as determinants of economic growth: Panel data evidence from developing Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Sisira R.N. Colombage
  • Svetlana Maslyuk
  • Roshaiza Taha

    (Federation University Australia, Australia
    Australian Catholic University, Australia
    Universiti Malaysia Terengganu, Malaysia)

Abstract

Traditional growth literature advocated the role of fiscal policy in establishing economic growth (Mckinnon, 1973; Schumpeter, 1911; Shaw, 1973; Solow, 1956; Zagler and Durnecker, 2003), but it did not consider the role of the stock market and the financial intermediation as the potential determinants of growth. Among those few economic theories explaining the stock market and taxation as joint determinants of the economic growth are the Levine’s (1991) endogenous growth models (EGM), which suggests that economic growth is strongly influenced by the stock market and tax policy, and the Laffer - Khaldun curve, which demonstrates that reduced tax rates on investment income would stimulate economic growth which in turn generate more tax revenue and possibly even compensate for tax incentives given on investment. We investigate ten Developing Asia nations over the period 1990 to 2008. To study differences among the countries, the study sub-divides Developing Asia into East Asia Pacific (China, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Taiwan, Philippines) and South Asia (Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka). Our motivation to choose these particular countries has been influenced by the rapid expansion of the stock markets and the rise in economic growth over the entire sample period. We employ panel unit root tests, Pedroni cointegration tests and panel Granger causality tests to estimate both short and long run causal relationships between stock market, tax revenue and economic growth. Data used included logged values of GDP to proxy economic growth, total tax revenue and stock market capitalization taken as a percentage of GDP to proxy tax revenue and stock market respectively. Findings provide evidence in support of Laffer-Khaldun curve and the Levine’s (1991) EGM: stock market and tax revenue do have an impact on economic growth even though the impact might be somewhat small or in some cases even negative. This can be due to country- specific characteristics that make a successful transition from stock market and tax revenue to economic growth more difficult (i.e., corruption, difficulties in obtaining credit at the personal level, inflation). In the short run results demonstrate the existence of causal linkages (varying directions) for the countries in East Asia Pacific and South Asia. In the long run, for all the examined sub-samples the direction of relationship runs from i) economic growth and tax revenue to stock market; and ii) economic growth and stock market to tax revenue. For policy implementation, these results indicate that in order to promote economic growth, governments of ten Developing Asia [End Page 89] should improve the channels between the stock market, taxation policy and economic growth by developing stock market liquidity and by identifying growth-oriented tax reform strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Sisira R.N. Colombage & Svetlana Maslyuk & Roshaiza Taha, 2015. "Stock market and tax revenue as determinants of economic growth: Panel data evidence from developing Asia," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(4), pages 89-107, October-D.
  • Handle: RePEc:jda:journl:vol.49:year:2015:issue4:pp:89-107
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/journal_of_developing_areas/v049/49.4.colombage.html
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Ho, Shan-Ju, 2020. "Financial inclusion, financial innovation, and firms’ sales growth," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 189-205.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cointegration; panel unit root tests; Asia; stock market; taxation; economic growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jda:journl:vol.49:year:2015:issue4:pp:89-107. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Abu N.M. Wahid (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cbtnsus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.