IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/oropre/v65y2017i2p.html

Analysis of the Bullwhip Effect in a Multiproduct Setting with Interdependent Demands

Author

Listed:
  • Srinivasan Raghunathan

    (Naveen Jindal School of Management, The University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, Texas 75083)

  • Christopher S.Tang

    (Anderson School of Management, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California 90095)

  • Xiaohang Yue

    (Lubar School of Business, The University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53201)

Abstract

The bullwhip effect has been extensively studied primarily based on the analysis of various single-product models with a few exceptions. We extend the single-product analysis to the multiproduct setting of interdependent demand streams with auto-correlation and cross-product correlation, as well as contemporaneous correlation across forecasting errors. We find that interdependency between demand streams plays a critical role in determining the existence and magnitude of the bullwhip effect. Specifically, we consider two operating environments: (a) The firm orders product-specific materials so that the ordering decision is based on the product level; and (b) the firm orders generic materials so that the order decision is based on the category level. We show that, even with demand pooling, a firm operating at the category level can experience a larger bullwhip effect and a larger order variance under certain conditions that depend on the number of products in the category and the demand dependencies.

Suggested Citation

  • Srinivasan Raghunathan & Christopher S.Tang & Xiaohang Yue, 2017. "Analysis of the Bullwhip Effect in a Multiproduct Setting with Interdependent Demands," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 65(2), pages 424-432, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:65:y:2017:i:2:p:
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.2016.1571
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2016.1571
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/opre.2016.1571?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:sen:journl:v:57:i:3:y:2012:p:27 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Hau L. Lee & Kut C. So & Christopher S. Tang, 2000. "The Value of Information Sharing in a Two-Level Supply Chain," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(5), pages 626-643, May.
    3. Li Chen & Wei Luo & Kevin Shang, 2017. "Measuring the Bullwhip Effect: Discrepancy and Alignment Between Information and Material Flows," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 19(1), pages 36-51, February.
    4. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2012. "Bullwhip Effect Measurement and Its Implications," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 771-784, August.
    5. Stephen C. Graves, 1999. "A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 1(1), pages 50-61.
    6. Vishal Gaur & Avi Giloni & Sridhar Seshadri, 2005. "Information Sharing in a Supply Chain Under ARMA Demand," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(6), pages 961-969, June.
    7. Yossi Aviv, 2003. "A Time-Series Framework for Supply-Chain Inventory Management," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 51(2), pages 210-227, April.
    8. Tiao, George C & Tsay, Ruey S, 1983. "Multiple Time Series Modeling and Extended Sample Cross-Correlations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 1(1), pages 43-56, January.
    9. Kenneth Gilbert, 2005. "An ARIMA Supply Chain Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(2), pages 305-310, February.
    10. Hau L. Lee & V. Padmanabhan & Seungjin Whang, 1997. "Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(4), pages 546-558, April.
    11. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
    12. Li Chen & Wei Luo & Kevin Shang, 2017. "Measuring the Bullwhip Effect: Discrepancy and Alignment Between Information and Material Flows," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 19(1), pages 36-51, February.
    13. Chen, Argon & Blue, Jakey, 2010. "Performance analysis of demand planning approaches for aggregating, forecasting and disaggregating interrelated demands," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 586-602, December.
    14. Frank Chen & Zvi Drezner & Jennifer K. Ryan & David Simchi-Levi, 2000. "Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times, and Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(3), pages 436-443, March.
    15. Robert L. Bray & Haim Mendelson, 2012. "Information Transmission and the Bullwhip Effect: An Empirical Investigation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(5), pages 860-875, May.
    16. Stephen C. Graves, 1999. "Addendum to "A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process"," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 1(2), pages 174-174.
    17. R.N. Boute & J. Dejonckheere & S.M. Disney & W. Van De Velde, 2012. "Bullwhip in a Multi-Product Production Setting," Review of Business and Economic Literature, Intersentia, vol. 57(3), pages 354-381, September.
    18. repec:sen:rebelj:v:57:i:3:y:2012:p:27 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2009. "Information Sharing and Order Variability Control Under a Generalized Demand Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 781-797, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Singh, Yogendra & Disney, Stephen M., 2026. "On the transition from make-to-stock to make-to-order," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 330(2), pages 444-457.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jalali, Hamed & Menezes, Mozart B.C., 2024. "Product portfolio adjustments and the bullwhip effect: The impact of product introduction and retirement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 318(1), pages 87-99.
    2. Nagaraja, Chaitra H. & McElroy, Tucker, 2018. "The multivariate bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 267(1), pages 96-106.
    3. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
    4. Ma, Yungao & Wang, Nengmin & He, Zhengwen & Lu, Jizhou & Liang, Huigang, 2015. "Analysis of the bullwhip effect in two parallel supply chains with interacting price-sensitive demands," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(3), pages 815-825.
    5. Li Chen & Wei Luo & Kevin Shang, 2017. "Measuring the Bullwhip Effect: Discrepancy and Alignment Between Information and Material Flows," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 19(1), pages 36-51, February.
    6. QU, Zhan & RAFF, Horst, 2023. "Two-part tariffs, inventory stockpiling, and the bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(1), pages 201-214.
    7. Ruomeng Cui & Gad Allon & Achal Bassamboo & Jan A. Van Mieghem, 2015. "Information Sharing in Supply Chains: An Empirical and Theoretical Valuation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(11), pages 2803-2824, November.
    8. René Caldentey & Avi Giloni & Clifford Hurvich & Yichen Zhang, 2025. "Information Design and Sharing in Supply Chains," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 50(3), pages 1965-1991, August.
    9. Minner, Stefan & Transchel, Sandra, 2017. "Order variability in perishable product supply chains," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 260(1), pages 93-107.
    10. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2009. "Information Sharing and Order Variability Control Under a Generalized Demand Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 781-797, May.
    11. Singh, Yogendra & Disney, Stephen M., 2026. "On the transition from make-to-stock to make-to-order," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 330(2), pages 444-457.
    12. Zhang, Xiaolong & Burke, Gerard J., 2011. "Analysis of compound bullwhip effect causes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 210(3), pages 514-526, May.
    13. Ouyang, Yanfeng & Li, Xiaopeng, 2010. "The bullwhip effect in supply chain networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 799-810, March.
    14. Ouyang, Yanfeng & Daganzo, Carlos, 2008. "Robust tests for the bullwhip effect in supply chains with stochastic dynamics," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 340-353, February.
    15. Yanfeng Ouyang & Carlos Daganzo, 2006. "Characterization of the Bullwhip Effect in Linear, Time-Invariant Supply Chains: Some Formulae and Tests," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(10), pages 1544-1556, October.
    16. Robert L. Bray & Haim Mendelson, 2012. "Information Transmission and the Bullwhip Effect: An Empirical Investigation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(5), pages 860-875, May.
    17. Agrawal, Sunil & Sengupta, Raghu Nandan & Shanker, Kripa, 2009. "Impact of information sharing and lead time on bullwhip effect and on-hand inventory," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 576-593, January.
    18. Layth C. Alwan & Christian H. Weiß, 2017. "INAR implementation of newsvendor model for serially dependent demand counts," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 1085-1099, February.
    19. Seungrae Lee & Seung Jae Park & Sridhar Seshadri, 2023. "Variations of the Bullwhip Effect Across Foreign Subsidiaries," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 25(1), pages 1-18, January.
    20. Ojha, Divesh & Sahin, Funda & Shockley, Jeff & Sridharan, Sri V., 2019. "Is there a performance tradeoff in managing order fulfillment and the bullwhip effect in supply chains? The role of information sharing and information type," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 529-543.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:65:y:2017:i:2:p:. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.