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A Model of the ABM-vs.-RV Engagement with Imperfect RV Discrimination

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  • Salvador B. Layno

    (Institute for Defense Analyses, Arlington, Virginia)

Abstract

This paper formulates an expected-value model of the ABM- vs .-RV engagement in which the defense is credited with an imperfect RV-discrimination capability expressed in terms of the Type I and Type II errors familiar in statistics. Since it is further assumed that the defense is conducted optimally within the limits of its resources and RV-discrimination capability, the results obtained from this model tend to be offense-conservative. Calculations made with this model support the final conclusion that the acquisition of even a modest RV-discrimination capability can result in considerable payoffs to the defender in terms of RV-leakage reduction.

Suggested Citation

  • Salvador B. Layno, 1971. "A Model of the ABM-vs.-RV Engagement with Imperfect RV Discrimination," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 19(6), pages 1502-1517, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:19:y:1971:i:6:p:1502-1517
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.19.6.1502
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    Cited by:

    1. Jaehak Kim & Woosang Kim, 2021. "Simulation analysis on the effectiveness of missile defense," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 58(3), pages 510-522, May.

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