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Letter to the Editor—Winning Probability in an Ambush Engagement

Author

Listed:
  • Takasi Kisi

    (Defense Academy, Yokosuka, Japan)

  • Tadasi Hirose

    (Defense Academy, Yokosuka, Japan)

Abstract

The combat model of Lanchester type given by S. J. Deitchman in investigating guerrilla-counterguerrilla warfare is reformulated in stochastic form. The situation is such that the guerrillas, having been preparing an ambush for the approaching regular force, start firing; they fire on the regulars, who are in full view, while the latter are forced to return fire blindly into the area supposedly occupied by the guerrillas. A formula for the winning probability is derived, and its simple approximating expression in terms of Poisson probabilities is also given.

Suggested Citation

  • Takasi Kisi & Tadasi Hirose, 1966. "Letter to the Editor—Winning Probability in an Ambush Engagement," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 14(6), pages 1137-1138, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:14:y:1966:i:6:p:1137-1138
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.14.6.1137
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