The Evaluation of Risky Investments with Random Timing of Cash Returns
This paper provides a computational technique for the evaluation of the distribution of the net present value (NPV) of an investment, in which the cash inflows occur at random time points, as in the case of venture capital. The initial cash outlay is deterministic and the magnitudes of the cash inflows are nonnegative, random variables with known distributions. The lengths of the intervals between successive cash inflows are independently distributed and independent of the magnitude of the inflows. The Laplace transforms and the first two moments of the distribution are computed for both independent and perfectly correlated inflows. It is shown that the use of constant time intervals when the timing of the inflows is random underestimates the variance of the distribution of the NPV.
Volume (Year): 21 (1974)
Issue (Month): 1 (September)
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: 7240 Parkway Drive, Suite 300, Hanover, MD 21076 USA|
Web page: http://www.informs.org/
More information through EDIRC
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:21:y:1974:i:1:p:79-86. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Mirko Janc)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.