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A dynamic causality test of exports and economic growth in Zimbabwe

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  • Kunofiwa Tsaurai
  • Nicholas M. Odhiambo

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the causal relationship between export growth and economic growth. The causal relationship between exports and economic growth has been a subject of extensive debate in recent years. There are currently three dominant views regarding the relationship between exports and economic growth. The first view maintains that it is the growth of exports that drives economic growth. The second view argues that it is economic growth that spurs exports expansion; while the third view maintains that both exports and economic growth promote one another. Using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL)-bounds testing approach, we find that there is a distinct causal flow from export growth to economic growth in Zimbabwe - both in the short run and in the long run. We therefore recommend that policies, which are geared towards export promotion should be intensified, in order to promote long-term economic growth in Zimbabwe.

Suggested Citation

  • Kunofiwa Tsaurai & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2012. "A dynamic causality test of exports and economic growth in Zimbabwe," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(3), pages 231-242.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijepee:v:5:y:2012:i:3:p:231-242
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Maune, 2018. "The Impact of FDI Inflows, Exports and Domestic Investment on Economic Growth in Africa," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(4), pages 152-164.
    2. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Is export-led growth hypothesis still valid for sub-Saharan African countries? New evidence from panel data analysis," European Journal of Management and Business Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 31(1), pages 77-93, April.
    3. Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2021. "A test of exports-led growth hypothesis in Sub-Saharan African countries: Evidence from panel data analysis," Working Papers 27170, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    4. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, "undated". "Is Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Still Valid For Sub-Saharan African Countries? New Evidence From Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers AESRI01, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI).
    5. N.M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Is Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Still Valid for Sub-Saharan African Countries? New Evidence from Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers AESRI-2021-02, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Jan 2021.
    6. Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Exports and imports in Zimbabwe: recent insights from artificial neural networks," MPRA Paper 96906, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Spur Economic Growth? New Empirical Evidence From Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 67(233), pages 61-84, April – J.
    8. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Is export-led growth hypothesis still valid for sub-Saharan African countries? New evidence from panel data analysis," European Journal of Management and Business Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 31(1), pages 77-93, April.
    9. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    10. Nicholas M Odhiambo, 2021. "Is Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Still Valid For Sub-Saharan African Countries? New Evidence From Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers AERI0121, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised 25 Aug 2021.

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