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Koordinasi Kebijakan Moneter Dan Fiskal Di Indonesia: Suatu Kajian Dengan Pendekatan Game Theory

Author

Listed:
  • Iskandar Simorangkir

    (Bank Indonesia)

Abstract

Perdebatan hubungan kebijakan moneter dan fiskal terkait dengan dampak defisit anggaran yang dapat mengganggu inflasi yang merupakan tujuan akhir kebijakan moneter. Sebaliknya, bagi pembuat kebijakan fiskal inflasi yang terlalu ketat dapat berdampak buruk terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi dan kesempatan kerja yang merupakan tujuan utama dari kebijakan fiskal. Tidak terdapatnya koordinasi diantara kedua kebijakan tersebut dapat berdampak terhadap stabilitas makro dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Paper ini akan membahas koordinasi kebijakan moneter dan fiskal di Indonesia dari tahun 1969 hingga tahun 2002 dengan menggunakan pendekatan game teori baik berupa cooperative dan non-cooperative game. Beberapa kerangka permainan akan disimulasikan dengan model ekonometrik dengan waktu yang kontinu. Pembuat kebijakan moneter dan fiskal diasumsikan mempunyai fungsi tujuan yang berbeda. Dalam mencapai tujuan tersebut, mereka dapat bekerjasama atau tidak. Hasil simulasi menunjukkan bahwa cooperative game memberikan hasil kerugian terkecil (lost function) dibandingkan dengan non-cooperative game.

Suggested Citation

  • Iskandar Simorangkir, 2007. "Koordinasi Kebijakan Moneter Dan Fiskal Di Indonesia: Suatu Kajian Dengan Pendekatan Game Theory," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 9(3), pages 1-26, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:9:y:2007:i:3:p:1-26
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v9i3.207
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    Cited by:

    1. Utama, Chandra, 2020. "The Effect of Twin-shock on Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Indonesia," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 54(2), pages 137-147.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Game Theory; Koordinasi; Kebijakan Moneter dan Fiskal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C71 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Cooperative Games
    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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