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Los saldos presupuestarios cíclico y estructural de la economía española

Author

Listed:
  • Francisco Corrales

    (Ministerio de Hacienda)

  • Juan Varela

    (Ministerio de Hacienda)

  • Rafael Domenech

    (Universidad de Valencia)

Abstract

En este trabajo se propone un método sencillo de descomposición del saldo presupuestario en su componente cíclico y estructural que trata de ser fácilmente reproducible y poco exigente con el volumen de información necesario para realizar esta descomposición. La regla propuesta se caracteriza porque la respuesta del saldo presupuestario al ciclo económico depende del tamaño del sector público. Los resultados de la descomposición efectuada permiten concluir que la mayor parte de las variaciones en el saldo presupuestario en términos del PIB han sido ocasionadas por cambios discrecionales de la política fiscal, que no han venido guiadas por un objetivo de estabilización, y que el Pacto de Estabilidad y Crecimiento no limita la actuación de los estabilizadores automáticos en una situación de equilibrio presupuestario a largo plazo. Classification-JEL : E32, E60.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Corrales & Juan Varela & Rafael Domenech, 2002. "Los saldos presupuestarios cíclico y estructural de la economía española," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 162(3), pages 9-34, ¨Septembe.
    • Handle: RePEc:hpe:journl:y:2002:v:162:i:3:p:9-34
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    Cited by:

    1. Arturo Melián-González, 2021. "The Expenditure Rule in the Spanish Organic Law on Budgetary Stability and Financial Sustainability and its Impact on the Autonomous Communities," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 237(2), pages 57-84, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    saldo presupuestario; componente cíclico y estructural; estabilizadores automáticos; output gap.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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