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A Mathematical Model of Treatment and Vaccination Interventions of Pneumococcal Pneumonia Infection Dynamics

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  • Mohammed Kizito
  • Julius Tumwiine

Abstract

Streptococcus pneumoniae is one of the leading causes of serious morbidity and mortality worldwide, especially in young children and the elderly. In this study, a model of the spread and control of bacterial pneumonia under public health interventions that involve treatment and vaccination is formulated. It is found out that the model exhibits the disease-free and endemic equilibria. The disease-free equilibrium is stable if and only if the basic reproduction number and the disease will be wiped out of the population. For the endemic equilibrium is globally stable and the disease persists. We infer the effect of these interventions on the dynamics of the pneumonia through sensitivity analysis on the effective reproduction number from which it is revealed that treatment and vaccination interventions combined can eradicate pneumonia infection. Numerical simulation to illustrate the analytical results and establish the long term behavior of the disease is done. The impact of pneumonia infection control strategies is investigated. It is revealed that, with treatment and vaccination interventions combined, pneumonia can be wiped out. However, with treatment intervention alone, pneumonia persists in the population.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammed Kizito & Julius Tumwiine, 2018. "A Mathematical Model of Treatment and Vaccination Interventions of Pneumococcal Pneumonia Infection Dynamics," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-16, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:hin:jnljam:2539465
    DOI: 10.1155/2018/2539465
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    Cited by:

    1. Alkahtani, Badr Saad T. & Alzaid, Sara Salem, 2020. "A novel mathematics model of covid-19 with fractional derivative. Stability and numerical analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    2. Yasmin, Humaira, 2022. "Effect of vaccination on non-integer dynamics of pneumococcal pneumonia infection," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    3. Majee, Suvankar & Jana, Soovoojeet & Das, Dhiraj Kumar & Kar, T.K., 2022. "Global dynamics of a fractional-order HFMD model incorporating optimal treatment and stochastic stability," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    4. Atangana, Abdon, 2020. "Modelling the spread of COVID-19 with new fractal-fractional operators: Can the lockdown save mankind before vaccination?," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).

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