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Multiple-Event Catastrophe Bond Pricing Based on CIR-Copula-POT Model

Author

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  • Wen Chao
  • Huiwen Zou

Abstract

Catastrophe events are attracting increased attention because of their devastating consequences. Aimed at the nonlinear dependency and tail characteristics of different triggered indexes of multiple-event catastrophe bonds, this paper applies Copula function and the extreme value theory to multiple-event catastrophe bond pricing. At the same time, floating coupon and principal payoff structures are adopted instead of fixed coupon and principal payoff structures, to reduce moral hazard and improve bond attractiveness. Furthermore, we develop a CIR-Copula-POT bond pricing model with CIR stochastic rate and estimate flood multiple-event triggered catastrophe bond price using Monte Carlo simulation method. Finally, we implement the sensitivity analysis to show how catastrophe intensity, maturity date, and the dependence affect the prices of catastrophe bonds.

Suggested Citation

  • Wen Chao & Huiwen Zou, 2018. "Multiple-Event Catastrophe Bond Pricing Based on CIR-Copula-POT Model," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-9, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:hin:jnddns:5068480
    DOI: 10.1155/2018/5068480
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    Cited by:

    1. Wulan Anggraeni & Sudradjat Supian & Sukono & Nurfadhlina Binti Abdul Halim, 2022. "Earthquake Catastrophe Bond Pricing Using Extreme Value Theory: A Mini-Review Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(22), pages 1-22, November.
    2. Sukono & Hafizan Juahir & Riza Andrian Ibrahim & Moch Panji Agung Saputra & Yuyun Hidayat & Igif Gimin Prihanto, 2022. "Application of Compound Poisson Process in Pricing Catastrophe Bonds: A Systematic Literature Review," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-19, July.
    3. Sukono & Herlina Napitupulu & Riaman & Riza Andrian Ibrahim & Muhamad Deni Johansyah & Rizki Apriva Hidayana, 2023. "A Regional Catastrophe Bond Pricing Model and Its Application in Indonesia’s Provinces," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-20, September.
    4. Wulan Anggraeni & Sudradjat Supian & Sukono & Nurfadhlina Abdul Halim, 2023. "Single Earthquake Bond Pricing Framework with Double Trigger Parameters Based on Multi Regional Seismic Information," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-44, January.
    5. Wulan Anggraeni & Sudradjat Supian & Sukono & Nurfadhlina Abdul Halim, 2023. "Catastrophe Bond Diversification Strategy Using Probabilistic–Possibilistic Bijective Transformation and Credibility Measures in Fuzzy Environment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-30, August.
    6. Riza Andrian Ibrahim & Sukono & Herlina Napitupulu & Rose Irnawaty Ibrahim, 2023. "How to Price Catastrophe Bonds for Sustainable Earthquake Funding? A Systematic Review of the Pricing Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-19, May.
    7. Riza Andrian Ibrahim & Sukono & Herlina Napitupulu, 2022. "Multiple-Trigger Catastrophe Bond Pricing Model and Its Simulation Using Numerical Methods," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, April.
    8. Sukono & Riza Andrian Ibrahim & Moch Panji Agung Saputra & Yuyun Hidayat & Hafizan Juahir & Igif Gimin Prihanto & Nurfadhlina Binti Abdul Halim, 2022. "Modeling Multiple-Event Catastrophe Bond Prices Involving the Trigger Event Correlation, Interest, and Inflation Rates," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-18, December.

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