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Lazy Network: A Word Embedding-Based Temporal Financial Network to Avoid Economic Shocks in Asset Pricing Models

Author

Listed:
  • George Adosoglou
  • Seonho Park
  • Gianfranco Lombardo
  • Stefano Cagnoni
  • Panos M. Pardalos
  • Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda

Abstract

Public companies in the US stock market must annually report their activities and financial performances to the SEC by filing the so-called 10-K form. Recent studies have demonstrated that changes in the textual content of the corporate annual filing (10-K) can convey strong signals of companies’ future returns. In this study, we combine natural language processing techniques and network science to introduce a novel 10-K-based network, named Lazy Network, that leverages year-on-year changes in companies’ 10-Ks detected using a neural network embedding model. The Lazy Network aims to capture textual changes derived from financial or economic changes on the equity market. Leveraging the Lazy Network, we present a novel investment strategy that attempts to select the least disrupted and stable companies by capturing the peripheries of the Lazy Network. We show that this strategy earns statistically significant risk-adjusted excess returns. Specifically, the proposed portfolios yield up to 95 basis points in monthly five-factor alphas (over 12% annually), outperforming similar strategies in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • George Adosoglou & Seonho Park & Gianfranco Lombardo & Stefano Cagnoni & Panos M. Pardalos & Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda, 2022. "Lazy Network: A Word Embedding-Based Temporal Financial Network to Avoid Economic Shocks in Asset Pricing Models," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-12, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:hin:complx:9430919
    DOI: 10.1155/2022/9430919
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    Cited by:

    1. Gianfranco Lombardo & Mattia Pellegrino & George Adosoglou & Stefano Cagnoni & Panos M. Pardalos & Agostino Poggi, 2022. "Machine Learning for Bankruptcy Prediction in the American Stock Market: Dataset and Benchmarks," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-23, August.

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