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Foresight in South Africa: Estimating Results through the Prism of Time

Author

Listed:
  • Michael Kahn

    (Institute for Economic Studies in Innovation, Tshwane University of Techolology (South Africa))

Abstract

The proposed material is unique because it evaluates the results of a Foresight project after the expiry of the planned time horizon - 10 years. It is shown that Foresight had very limited impact on national innovation policy. Although it contributed to the development of consensus among stakeholders, increased their awareness and public participation, however in identifying new technological purposes its success has been far more modest. The author concludes that thoroughly planned activities under Foresight would be much more in favor of innovation policy. Particularly it is needed to clarify the motivations of key actors that would require further research of their behavior. Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Kahn, 2008. "Foresight in South Africa: Estimating Results through the Prism of Time," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 2(2), pages 56-65.
    • Handle: RePEc:hig:fsight:v:2:y:2008:i:2:p:56-65
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    File URL: http://foresight-journal.hse.ru/data/2010/12/31/1208181658/kahn.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    innovation policy; research and development; national strategy; constructed crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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