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Trade Liberalisation in the Doha Round – A Global and Danish Perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Baltzer, Kenneth

    (University of Copenhagen, Institute of Food and Resource Economics)

  • Kærgård, Hans G.

    (Fødevareøkonomisk Institut, Københavns Universitet)

  • Lind, Kim M.

    (University of Copenhagen, Institute of Food and Resource Economics,)

Abstract

This paper provides a qualitative and numerical analysis of a potential Doha agreement on multilateral trade liberalisation following the »mini-ministerial« meeting of negotiators in Geneva during July 2008. We discuss the latest draft modalities for agricultural and non-agricultural market access, dated 10 July 2008. For the numerical analysis, we design a Doha-scenario, that reflects the draft modalities as closely as possible, and employ the GTAP model and database to estimate the economic impacts of such an agreement. We find that the agreement has postive global welfare implications of around USD 55 billion, corresponding to around 0.2 percent of GDP. The Danish economy also benefits from the agreement, largely due to improved access for the Danish pork industry to important protected export markets such as Japan. Throughout the paper, we take global and Danish perspectives on Doha.

Suggested Citation

  • Baltzer, Kenneth & Kærgård, Hans G. & Lind, Kim M., 2008. "Trade Liberalisation in the Doha Round – A Global and Danish Perspective," Nationaløkonomisk tidsskrift, Nationaløkonomisk Forening, vol. 2008(1), pages 263-300.
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:jdaecn:0115
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade Liberalisation; doha;

    JEL classification:

    • A10 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - General

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