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The past is the key to future of security intelligence?

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  • Odeyemi, Christo

Abstract

This paper asks the research question: what are the key developments that influenced the intelligence community since 1939 and how these developments may influence the intelligence community in the next 25 years? While the paper draws upon intelligence-focused and qualitative-based secondary sources, nearly all of the reviewed works are based on primarily-sourced materials and more or less shows that the past is the key to the future of intelligence operations. In contrast, the present piece, though in a non-chronological approach, contends that while this may well be the case, the future of intelligence would be influenced more by the present than the past. This is due to two key reasons. First, intelligence historiography is incomplete until certain Cold War operational records are declassified. This is compounded by the absence of comprehensive intelligence history exists for the period between the world wars (Wheeler, 2013, p.76). Second, humans and their ingenious nature are ever evolving as shown by terrorists’ adaptability to intelligence techies’ techniques.

Suggested Citation

  • Odeyemi, Christo, 2015. "The past is the key to future of security intelligence?," International Journal of Development and Conflict, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 48-58.
    • Handle: RePEc:gok:ijdcv1:v:5:y:2015:i:1:p:48-58
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    1. Marjolein Derous, 2014. "Why Communism Did Not Collapse. Understanding Regime Resilience in Asia and Europe," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 66(10), pages 1738-1739, November.
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