Integrating Triple Helix Collaboration and Blockchain in Circular Economy Models for Enhanced Waste Recycling

The sustainable management of waste is a significant problem facing humanity, especially in regions with low recycling rates and a lack of infrastructure. For example, Romania has a recycling rate of only 12%, a long way from meeting the European Union’s target of 42%. This article proposes a framework for sustainable waste management, called CETHTB-Chain, by combining the circular economy, Triple Helix Twins collaboration, and blockchain technology. To test the viability of this framework, a Monte Carlo simulation with 10,000 iterations and system dynamics modelling with a 10-year simulation period was conducted. The Monte Carlo simulation revealed that CETHTB-Chain can improve recycling rates by a mean of 45.6% (95% CI, 38.6–52.6%), material recovery rates by 62.7% (95% CI, 54.4–70.0%), cost savings by 18.53 euros per ton, and CO 2 reduction by 629 kg per ton of waste. System dynamics modelling revealed that CETHTB-Chain is feasible for implementation, following S-curve growth, with recycling rates of 38.6% in 7–10 years. Sensitivity analysis revealed that blockchain technology adoption (ρ = 0.612) and citizen participation (ρ = 0.379) were key drivers of CETHTB-Chain performance. By combining Monte Carlo simulation and system dynamics modelling, this article has shown CETHTB-Chain to be a statistically significant and temporally feasible blueprint for transitioning from a linear economy to a circular economy in waste management. By engaging academia, industry, and government in a collaborative relationship facilitated by blockchain technology, CETHTB-Chain has provided valuable evidence for strategic planning in waste management in the European Union.