Climate-Resilient Design of Covered Historic Courtyards in Mediterranean Climates: The Role of Roof Geometry and Passive Strategies Under Future Scenarios

Covered courtyards are increasingly being adopted as a passive strategy for the climatic rehabilitation and adaptive reuse of historic buildings. However, their thermal behaviour is strongly conditioned by roof geometry, local climate conditions, and future climate warming, aspects that have not yet been comparatively addressed within a climate resilience framework. This study evaluates the energy and thermal performance of three representative roof typologies for covered historic courtyards—glazed dome, glazed flat roof, and south-facing sawtooth roof—across two Mediterranean climates of contrasting severity (cold continental and warm–dry), considering both current and future climatic conditions (2050–2080). Additionally, two design approaches are compared: a baseline design (BD), based exclusively on geometric configuration and standard glazing, and an enhanced passive design (EPD), which incorporates improved glazing, controlled natural ventilation, and seasonal solar control. Dynamic simulations using EnergyPlus/DesignBuilder are employed to analyse heating and cooling demands, free-running thermal behaviour, overheating risk, and the climatic robustness of each solution. The results show that roof geometry constitutes the dominant factor governing the long-term thermal resilience of covered courtyards, particularly under future climate warming scenarios, while enhanced passive strategies significantly mitigate cooling demand and overheating in the most penalised typologies. The south-facing sawtooth roof consistently exhibits the highest climatic robustness under free-running conditions across the analysed scenarios, whereas the glazed dome and flat roof solutions display greater climatic sensitivity and benefit more substantially from the application of enhanced passive design strategies. Overall, the results provide quantitative design criteria to support resilient interventions in historic covered courtyards in Mediterranean climates under climate change.